Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.5
42.4%57.6%
Pirates WinReds Win
4.56Projected Runs 5.36
1Final Score 4
Rank16
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.5
Rank16
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
50-45.41.569

Michael Lorenzen (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
01-15.231.645

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 4-9 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Anthony DeSclafani+138
L 1-3 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Cody Ponce • CIN: Trevor Bauer+225
L 0-11 at Kansas City RoyalsPIT: Chad Kuhl • KCR: Brad Keller+130
L 4-7 at Kansas City RoyalsPIT: Trevor Williams • KCR: Carlos Hernandez+105
L 3-4 at Kansas City RoyalsPIT: Steven Brault • KCR: Kris Bubic+130
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 4-9 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Anthony DeSclafani-145
W 1-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Cody Ponce • CIN: Trevor Bauer-250
W 10-5 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Tyler Mahle • STL: Carlos Martinez-104
L 1-7 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Tejay Antone • STL: Dakota Hudson+118
W 3-1 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Luis Castillo • STL: Adam Wainwright-110

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PYacksel Rios10-day IL
  • PKyle Crick10-day IL
  • PTyler Bashlor10-day IL
  • CFAnthony Alford10-day IL
  • PKeone Kela10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • RFJesse WinkerUnknown
  • PSonny Gray10-day IL
  • PTyler Thornburg60-day IL
  • PWade Miley10-day IL
  • RFAristides AquinoRest
ENE 4 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)73°71°67°64°
Humidity48%55%64%72%
Precipitation0%0%1%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindENE 4 mphE 4 mphE 4 mphE 4 mph
Ryan Blakney
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+130+120+126+125+130+126+130-
Reds-141-140-136-135-140-136-135-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+123+124+123+126+130+126+130-
Reds-133-134-134-136-145-136-134-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +120 to +113
Reds ML moved from -130 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +124 to +117
Reds ML moved from -135 to -145

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-165+1½-160+1½-164+1½-160+1½-165+1½-164+1½-160-
Reds-1½+145-1½+140-1½+144-1½+140-1½+140-1½+144-1½+144-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-165+1½-160+1½-163+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160-
Reds-1½+145-1½+140-1½+144-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+144-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9-110o9-105o9-110o9-110o9-105o9-105-
Underu9-115u9-110u9-115u9-110u9-110u9-115u9-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9-115o9-112o9-115o9-115o9-110o9-110-
Underu9-120u9-105u9-108u9-105u9-105u9-110u9-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-108