Mets at Nationals

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
59.6%40.4%
Mets WinNationals Win
4.72Projected Runs 3.71
2Final Score 3
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.4
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Joey Lucchesi (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-04.431.23

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-14.251.333

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 3-2 at Washington NationalsNYM: Tylor Megill • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-114
L 0-5 at Cincinnati RedsNYM: Kodai Senga • CIN: Derek Law-190
W 2-1 at Cincinnati RedsNYM: Justin Verlander • CIN: Hunter Greene-147
L 6-7 at Cincinnati RedsNYM: David Peterson • CIN: Luke Weaver-155
L 13-6 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Ryan Feltner • NYM: Joey Lucchesi-179
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 3-2 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+110
W 11-6 at San Francisco GiantsWSN: Josiah Gray • SFG: Sean Manaea+147
L 1-4 at San Francisco GiantsWSN: Patrick Corbin • SFG: Logan Webb+201
W 5-1 at San Francisco GiantsWSN: Jake Irvin • SFG: Anthony DeSclafani+197
W 9-8 at Arizona DiamondbacksWSN: Trevor Williams • ARI: Ryne Nelson+135

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • CFTim Locastro10-day IL
  • PMax ScherzerUnknown
  • -Brooks RaleyUnknown
  • PCarlos CarrascoUnknown
  • CFrancisco AlvarezRest
  • PStephen Ridings60-day IL
  • -Edwin UcetaUnknown
  • -Jimmy YacabonisUnknown
  • CTomas Nido10-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • CFVictor Robles10-day IL
  • PChad KuhlUnknown
NNE 6 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
InSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)69°67°67°67°
Humidity81%85%85%84%
Precipitation41%47%43%0%
ConditionRainRainDrizzleCloudy
WindNNE 6 mphNNE 6 mphN 5 mphN 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-141-142-155-142-145-142-142-135.5
Nationals+130+132+130+131+135+131+135+135.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-145-145-140-150-143-142-140-135.5
Nationals+122+135+128+126+132+122+135+135.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Nationals: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from -145 to -155
Nationals ML moved from +130 to +122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Nationals: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from -140 to -151
Nationals ML moved from +138 to +128

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+115-1½+112-1½+105-1½+112-1½+110-1½+112-1½+112-1½+121
Nationals+1½-135+1½-128+1½-125+1½-132+1½-130+1½-132+1½-125+1½-121
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+115-1½+110-1½+112-1½+100-1½+110-1½+110-1½+112-1½+121
Nationals+1½-135+1½-130+1½-130+1½-120+1½-130+1½-130+1½-120+1½-121

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9-123o9-125o9-124o9½+100o9-124o9-123o9-113
Underu9-105u9+107u9+105u9+104u9½-120u9+104u9+107u9+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9-120o9-125o9-120o9-120o9-125o9-120o9-113
Underu9-105u9+100u9+105u9+100u9+100u9+105u9+105u9+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
No Steam Moves On Under