Pirates at Guardians

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
38.1%61.9%
Pirates WinGuardians Win
3.53Projected Runs 4.78
8Final Score 10
Rank11
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank11
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9

Pitching

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
226-74.251.264

Ben Lively (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2311-83.621.192

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 14-10 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Paul Skenes-160
L 9-5 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • PIT: Jared Jones+112
L 18-8 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jameson Taillon • PIT: Mitch Keller-108
W 3-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Martinez • PIT: Luis Ortiz-104
L 10-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Julian Aguiar • PIT: Jake Woodford-103
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 5-7 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Michael Wacha • CLE: Tanner Bibee-155
L 6-1 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Michael Lorenzen • CLE: Gavin Williams-154
L 9-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Alec Marsh • CLE: Logan Allen-134
L 4-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Cole Ragans • CLE: Nick Sandlin+113
W 2-4 vs Texas RangersTEX: Cody Bradford • CLE: Matthew Boyd-122

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CJoey Bart10-day IL
  • PColin Holderman15-day IL
  • PMarco Gonzales60-day IL
  • PBen Heller15-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PSam Hentges60-day IL
  • PCarlos Carrasco15-day IL
  • PAlex Cobb15-day IL
S 4 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
UnknownSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)84°83°81°80°
Humidity68%70%72%73%
Precipitation52%0%43%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindS 4 mphSSE 6 mphS 8 mphS 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+165+134+133+132+135+132+135+136.9
Guardians-180-144-159-144-145-144-144-136.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+150+145+139+138+133+135+145+136.9
Guardians-165-155-152-153-145-150-145-136.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +129 to +120
Guardians ML moved from -150 to -158

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 60.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +135 to +129
Guardians ML moved from -152 to -160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-145+1½-148+1½-150+1½-150+1½-160+1½-150+1½-148+1½-138
Guardians-1½+125-1½+132-1½+130-1½+130-1½+140-1½+130-1½+140-1½+138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-145+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-160+1½-155+1½-150+1½-138
Guardians-1½+125-1½+130-1½+131-1½+130-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9+102o9+100o8½-120o9+100o8½-120o8½-120o8½-109
Underu8½-105u9-118u9-120u8½+100u9-120u8½+100u9-118u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o8½-109
Underu8½+100u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-125 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-125 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120