Mets at Padres

Updated
Rank12
R/G4.8
RA/G4.1
45.8%54.2%
Mets WinPadres Win
3.95Projected Runs 4.40
6Final Score 2
Rank9
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6
Rank12
R/G4.8
RA/G4.1
Rank9
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Marcus Stroman (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
114-42.661.057

Chris Paddack (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
102-44.241.179

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 4-0 at San Diego PadresNYM: Jacob deGrom • SDP: Joe Musgrove-105
L 0-2 at San Diego PadresNYM: Joey Lucchesi • SDP: Blake Snell+167
L 3-4 at San Diego PadresNYM: Taijuan Walker • SDP: Yu Darvish+178
W 7-6 at Arizona DiamondbacksNYM: David Peterson • ARI: Madison Bumgarner+105
L 5-6 at Arizona DiamondbacksNYM: Marcus Stroman • ARI: Caleb Smith-113
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 4-0 vs New York MetsNYM: Jacob deGrom • SDP: Joe Musgrove+110
W 0-2 vs New York MetsNYM: Joey Lucchesi • SDP: Blake Snell-170
W 3-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Taijuan Walker • SDP: Yu Darvish-183
L 1-6 at Chicago CubsSDP: Dinelson Lamet • CHC: Adbert Alzolay+113
L 3-4 at Chicago CubsSDP: Ryan Weathers • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+114

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PTommy Hunter10-day IL
  • 3BJonathan VillarUnknown
  • PJordan Yamamoto60-day IL
  • RFMichael Conforto10-day IL
  • LFJohneshwy Fargas10-day IL
  • CFAlbert Almora Jr.10-day IL
  • 2BJeff McNeil10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • CAustin Nola10-day IL
  • PDrew Pomeranz10-day IL
  • PDan Altavilla60-day IL
  • CFTrent Grisham10-day IL
  • PKeone KelaOut for Season
SW 10 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
To RightSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)66°66°66°65°
Humidity66%66%67%75%
Precipitation1%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSW 10 mphSW 10 mphSW 10 mphSW 9 mph
Tripp Gibson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+125+134+132+134+135+134+135-
Padres-135-148-152-145-145-145-145-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+125+135+137+134+140+138+140-
Padres-135-145-150-144-153-148-144-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +137 to +129
Padres ML moved from -160 to -166

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +140 to +134
Padres ML moved from -145 to -155

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-175+1½-170+1½-165+1½-167+1½-167+1½-167+1½-165-
Padres-1½+155-1½+148-1½+145-1½+147-1½+147-1½+147-1½+148-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-170+1½-160+1½-164+1½-165+1½-160+1½-170+1½-160-
Padres-1½+150-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+140-1½+150-1½+150-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7-119o7-115o7-120o7-120o7-120o7-115-
Underu8-110u7-101u7-105u7+100u7+100u7+100u7+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-100o7-120o7-120o7-120o7-115o7-115o7-115-
Underu8-120u7+100u7+100u7+100u7-105u7-105u7+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+110 to o7-120
The Under moved from u8-120 to u8-127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-110 to o7-120
The Under moved from u7½-125 to u7-110