Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
40.2%59.8%
Pirates WinReds Win
3.57Projected Runs 4.60
1Final Score 2
Rank15
R/G4.5
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
Rank15
R/G4.5
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Braxton Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
74-32.621.194

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
278-83.441.085

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 4-3 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Paul Skenes • CIN: Hunter Greene+114
W 4-2 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Johan Oviedo • CIN: Brady Singer+157
W 0-11 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Mitch Spence • PIT: Mike Burrows-116
W 0-2 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Luis Morales • PIT: Bubba Chandler+105
L 4-3 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Luis Severino • PIT: Mitch Keller+110
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • CIN: Hunter Greene-120
L 4-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Johan Oviedo • CIN: Brady Singer-168
W 0-1 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jameson Taillon • CIN: Andrew Abbott-112
W 3-6 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Javier Assad • CIN: Zack Littell-109
W 4-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Shota Imanaga • CIN: Nick Lodolo+100

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CEndy RodriguezOut for Season
  • CFO'Neil CruzQuestionable
  • CFRonny SimonOut for Season
  • CJoey BartQuestionable

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PCarson SpiersOut for Season
  • PJulian AguiarOut for Season
  • LFAustin HaysQuestionable
NNW 3 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)70°72°73°73°
Humidity85%81%79%77%
Precipitation100%74%24%20%
ConditionRainDrizzleMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNNW 3 mphNNW 4 mphNNW 3 mphNW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+145+153+146+147+155+147+155+153.1
Reds-160-167-178-163-165-163-163-153.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+145+150+148+150+152+145+152+153.1
Reds-164-165-165-165-174-160-160-153.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Reds ML moved from -162 to -168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +150 to +143
Reds ML moved from -155 to -165

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-150+1½-143+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-133
Reds-1½+130-1½+127-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+127-1½+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-150+1½-145+1½-152+1½-140+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140+1½-133
Reds-1½+130-1½+125-1½+132-1½+120-1½+125-1½+125-1½+132-1½+133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8+102o7½-115o7½-115o8+105o7½-115o8+105o7½-104
Underu8½-120u8-118u7½-105u7½-105u8-125u7½-105u8-118u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8+100o8+100o8+100o8-105o8+100o8+100o7½-104
Underu8+100u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-115u8-120u8-115u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120