Tigers at Guardians

Updated
Rank10
R/G4.9
RA/G4.4
49.7%50.3%
Tigers WinGuardians Win
4.25Projected Runs 4.28
4Final Score 2
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
Rank10
R/G4.9
RA/G4.4
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Troy Melton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
33-22.791.0

Parker Messick (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-02.081.298

Last 5 Games

Detroit Tigers
Money Line
L 1-5 at Cleveland GuardiansDET: Jack Flaherty • CLE: Tanner Bibee+130
L 2-5 at Cleveland GuardiansDET: Tarik Skubal • CLE: Gavin Williams-152
L 6-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Strider • DET: Casey Mize-115
L 6-5 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Joey Wentz • DET: Keider Montero-114
L 10-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Bryce Elder • DET: Charlie Morton-106
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Jack Flaherty • CLE: Tanner Bibee-137
W 2-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tarik Skubal • CLE: Gavin Williams+140
L 2-6 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Joey Cantillo • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson-132
W 8-0 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Logan Allen • MIN: Bailey Ober-106
W 6-0 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Slade Cecconi • MIN: Joe Ryan+108

Injuries

Detroit Tigers

Status
  • PBeau BrieskeOut for Season
  • SSJavier BaezIn Lineup
  • 3BColt Keith10-day IL
  • PSean GuentherOut for Season
  • PJason FoleyOut for Season
  • PTy MaddenOut for Season
  • PSawyer Gipson-Long15-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • LFDavid FryOut
  • PBen LivelyOut for Season
  • PLuis OrtizOut for Season
  • RFWill BrennanOut for Season
  • PEmmanuel ClaseOut for Season
  • CFLane ThomasOut for Season
  • PAndrew WaltersOut for Season
  • PSam HentgesOut for Season
  • RFNolan Jones10-day IL
  • PNic Enright10-day IL
WNW 6 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)71°69°67°66°
Humidity75%80%84%88%
Precipitation6%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 6 mphW 4 mphWSW 4 mphWSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+139+144+135+138+143+138+144+143.6
Guardians-165-156-161-152-153-152-152-143.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+155+140+133+140+140+135+140+143.6
Guardians-170-155-148-155-158-150-148-143.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from +135 to +127
Guardians ML moved from -146 to -155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from +141 to +128
Guardians ML moved from -143 to -152

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-150+1½-148+1½-165+1½-165+1½-155+1½-165+1½-148+1½-153
Guardians-1½+125-1½+132-1½+140-1½+145-1½+135-1½+145-1½+145-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-140+1½-160+1½-180+1½-160+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-153
Guardians-1½+120-1½+140-1½+155-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145-1½+155-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-125o7½+102o7½+110o7-110o7½+100o7-110o7-110o7+100
Underu7½+105u7½-118u7½-130u7-110u7½-120u7-110u7½-118u7+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-105o7½+100o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½+100o7+100
Underu8-110u7½-115u7½-120u7½-105u7½-110u7½-110u7½-105u7+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-130 to u7-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120