Phillies at Astros

Updated
Rank4
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
42.7%57.3%
Phillies WinAstros Win
3.33Projected Runs 4.09
3Final Score 1
Rank18
R/G4.2
RA/G5.3
Rank4
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
Rank18
R/G4.2
RA/G5.3

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-25.41.341

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-22.251.156

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: George Kirby • PHI: Matt Strahm-105
W 5-6 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • PHI: Taijuan Walker+105
L 5-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Marco Gonzales • PHI: Bailey Falter-118
W 3-9 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: José Ureña • PHI: Zack Wheeler-290
W 3-4 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Kyle Freeland • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez-163
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 1-0 at Tampa Bay RaysHOU: Hunter Brown • TBR: Calvin Faucher+106
W 5-0 at Tampa Bay RaysHOU: Luis Garcia • TBR: Drew Rasmussen+165
L 3-8 at Tampa Bay RaysHOU: Jose Urquidy • TBR: Taj Bradley+175
W 5-2 at Atlanta BravesHOU: Cristian Javier • ATL: Max Fried+125
W 6-3 at Atlanta BravesHOU: Framber Valdez • ATL: Kyle Wright+104

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PRanger SuarezUnknown
  • PNoah SongUnknown
  • PNick NelsonUnknown
  • CRafael Alejandro Marchon60-day IL
  • PAndrew BellattiUnknown
  • PTaijuan WalkerQuestionable
  • 1BDarick Hall10-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • DHYordan AlvarezOut
  • CFChas McCormick10-day IL
  • PParker MushinskiUnknown
SSE 11 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)78°75°73°71°
Humidity60%68%74%80%
Precipitation0%0%52%48%
ConditionPartly CloudyCloudyThunderstormsThunderstorms
WindSSE 11 mphSE 8 mphSE 5 mphNNE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+150+132+126+136+135+136+136+140.5
Astros-160-142-150-147-145-147-142-140.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+135+135+138+126+131+133+138+140.5
Astros-160-145-151-150-142-147-142-140.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +137 to +128
Astros ML moved from -136 to -143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +135 to +126
Astros ML moved from -142 to -151

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-155+1½-163+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165+1½-170+1½-163+1½-157
Astros-1½+135-1½+147-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-170+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-170+1½-165+1½-160+1½-157
Astros-1½+143-1½+145-1½+141-1½+135-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7-118o7½+105o7½+105o7-120o7½+105o7-118o7½+114
Underu7½-115u7+102u7½-125u7½-125u7+100u7½-125u7½-125u7½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½+100o7-120o7½+105o7-120o7-120o7-120o7½+114
Underu7½-110u7½-120u7+100u7½-125u7+100u7+100u7½-120u7½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-105