Padres at Brewers

Updated
Rank12
R/G4.8
RA/G4.5
52.1%47.9%
Padres WinBrewers Win
4.44Projected Runs 4.23
4Final Score 5
Rank4
R/G5.3
RA/G3.9
Rank12
R/G4.8
RA/G4.5
Rank4
R/G5.3
RA/G3.9

Pitching

Sean Manaea (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-34.021.107

Adrian Houser (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
93-53.691.381

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 2-5 at St. Louis CardinalsSDP: Yu Darvish • STL: Dakota Hudson-129
L 2-3 at St. Louis CardinalsSDP: Blake Snell • STL: Adam Wainwright+114
L 3-6 at St. Louis CardinalsSDP: Nick Martinez • STL: Packy Naughton+114
W 2-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Roansy Contreras • SDP: MacKenzie Gore-174
L 4-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • SDP: Joe Musgrove-220
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 3-4 at Chicago CubsMIL: Jason Alexander • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-107
L 7-8 at Chicago CubsMIL: Eric Lauer • CHC: Justin Steele-125
W 3-1 at Chicago CubsMIL: Aaron Ashby • CHC: Drew Smyly-125
W 7-6 at Chicago CubsMIL: Ethan Small • CHC: Matt Swarmer-128
W 8-0 at St. Louis CardinalsMIL: Corbin Burnes • STL: Miles Mikolas-138

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • CAustin NolaRest
  • 1BMatt BeatyUnknown
  • RFWil MyersUnknown
  • PMike ClevingerUnknown

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PJustin Topa60-day IL
  • CFLorenzo CainRest
  • -Jandel GustaveUnknown
  • PBrandon WoodruffUnknown
  • PFreddy PeraltaUnknown
  • SSWilly Adames10-day IL
  • PAngel PerdomoUnknown
  • -Jean Carlos MejiaUnknown
  • COmar NarvaezUnknown
  • RFHunter Renfroe10-day IL
W 9 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°74°70°67°
Humidity36%38%43%50%
Precipitation1%0%0%1%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindW 9 mphWNW 8 mphNW 7 mphSSW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+110-108-108-108-108-108-108-104.4
Brewers-120-112-102-102-102-102-102+104.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+110-104-105-109-105-108-104-104.4
Brewers-120-106-105-101-105-102-101+104.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -107 to -113
Brewers ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -102 to -108
No Steam Moves On Brewers ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-190+1½-220+1½-211+1½-210+1½-211+1½-211+1½-210+1½-186
Brewers-1½+165-1½+180-1½+181-1½+175-1½+181-1½+181-1½+181-1½+186
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-185+1½-200+1½-196+1½-210+1½-200+1½-200+1½-196+1½-186
Brewers-1½+165-1½+175-1½+174-1½+180-1½+175-1½+175-1½+180-1½+186

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8+100
Underu8½-120u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-115o8-110o8-115o8½+100o8-115o8-110o8+100
Underu8½-120u8-105u8-110u8-105u8½-120u8-105u8½-120u8+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105