Guardians at Nationals

Updated
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
64.7%35.3%
Guardians WinNationals Win
4.62Projected Runs 3.08
4Final Score 3
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
Rank10
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Cal Quantrill (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-16.521.862

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-14.351.161

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 4-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Clarke Schmidt • CLE: Peyton Battenfield+100
L 11-2 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • CLE: Hunter Gaddis+164
W 2-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Domingo German • CLE: Shane Bieber-157
W 6-7 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: George Kirby • CLE: Zach Plesac+123
L 3-2 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Marco Gonzales • CLE: Cal Quantrill-128
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 2-3 at Los Angeles AngelsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • LAA: Griffin Canning+160
L 0-2 at Los Angeles AngelsWSN: Josiah Gray • LAA: Shohei Ohtani+263
W 6-4 at Los Angeles AngelsWSN: Patrick Corbin • LAA: Jose Suarez+245
L 6-7 at Colorado RockiesWSN: Chad Kuhl • COL: Ryan Feltner+130
W 7-6 at Colorado RockiesWSN: Trevor Williams • COL: Austin Gomber+135

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PTriston McKenzie60-day IL
  • PCody Morris60-day IL
  • PSam HentgesUnknown
  • PAaron CivaleUnknown

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PStephen Strasburg60-day IL
  • 3BCarter Kieboom10-day IL
  • PCade Cavalli60-day IL
  • LFCorey Dickerson10-day IL
  • PVictor Arano60-day IL
  • CIsrael Pineda10-day IL
  • PTanner Rainey60-day IL
  • 2BIldemaro Vargas10-day IL
S 10 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°72°71°69°
Humidity63%69%72%75%
Precipitation30%30%0%0%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsCloudyMostly Cloudy
WindS 10 mphS 8 mphS 7 mphS 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-135-151-158-155-153-155-151-147.7
Nationals+125+141+132+143+143+143+143+147.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-132-152-160-170-156-158-152-147.7
Nationals+122+142+146+143+143+143+146+147.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -132 to -150
Nationals ML moved from +130 to +121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -155 to -170
Nationals ML moved from +135 to +126

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+120-1½+107-1½+100-1½+102-1½+105-1½+102-1½+107-1½+111
Nationals+1½-140+1½-123+1½-120+1½-122+1½-125+1½-122+1½-120+1½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+135-1½+105-1½+100-1½+110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+111
Nationals+1½-155+1½-125+1½-118+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-118+1½-111

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9-118o9½+100o9-115o9½+100o9-115o9-115o9-104
Underu8½-105u9+102u9½-120u9-105u9½-120u9-105u9½-120u9+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9½+100o9½-105o9½+100o9½-110o9½+100o9½+100o9-104
Underu9-115u9½-120u9½-115u9½-120u9½-110u9½-120u9½-110u9+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-118 to u9-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
No Steam Moves On Under