Royals at Guardians

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.8
RA/G2.7
39.6%60.4%
Royals WinGuardians Win
3.54Projected Runs 4.63
7Final Score 1
Rank15
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank23
R/G4.8
RA/G2.7
Rank15
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Kris Bubic (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
262-135.811.718

Zach Plesac (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
233-114.391.307

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 3-6 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Brady Singer • CLE: Aaron Civale+125
L 3-10 at Detroit TigersKCR: Jonathan Heasley • DET: Eduardo Rodriguez+120
L 1-2 at Detroit TigersKCR: Daniel Lynch • DET: Will Vest+124
L 3-4 at Detroit TigersKCR: Zack Greinke • DET: Joey Wentz+108
W 12-13 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Luis Castillo • KCR: Max Castillo+160
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 3-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • CLE: Aaron Civale-135
W 1-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Jeffrey Springs • CLE: Cal Quantrill+124
W 1-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Tyler Glasnow • CLE: Triston McKenzie-124
L 6-5 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Corey Kluber • CLE: Shane Bieber-145
W 10-4 at Texas RangersCLE: Aaron Civale • TEX: Cole Ragans-119

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • CFMichael A. TaylorRest
  • 3BNicky LopezRest

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CAustin HedgesRest
  • 3BJose RamirezRest
  • PZach PlesacUnknown
NE 11 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)64°63°64°65°
Humidity64%65%65%61%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyOvercast
WindNE 11 mphNE 11 mphNE 15 mphNE 16 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+170+158+153+157+156+157+158+163.7
Guardians-185-168-185-171-171-171-168-163.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+170+160+154+152+148+160+160+163.7
Guardians-185-175-169-180-162-170-162-163.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +157 to +148
Guardians ML moved from -186 to -192

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +155 to +148
Guardians ML moved from -165 to -174

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-130+1½-143+1½-140+1½-143+1½-143+1½-143+1½-140+1½-128
Guardians-1½+110-1½+127-1½+120-1½+123-1½+123-1½+123-1½+127-1½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-125+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-140+1½-128
Guardians-1½+105-1½+120-1½+122-1½+125-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-103o7½+100o7½-101o7½-101o7½-101o7½+100o7½+109
Underu7½-110u7½-113u7½-120u7½-119u7½-119u7½-119u7½-113u7½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+109
Underu7½-105u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+102 to o7½-108
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120