Red Sox at Padres

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
44.5%55.5%
Red Sox WinPadres Win
3.72Projected Runs 4.28
2Final Score 6
Rank9
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank9
R/G4.4
RA/G3.9

Pitching

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
198-53.031.276

Dylan Cease (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
234-104.61.297

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 4-5 at San Diego PadresBOS: Lucas Giolito • SDP: Michael King+122
W 10-2 at San Diego PadresBOS: Walker Buehler • SDP: Nick Pivetta+151
L 7-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Michael Wacha • BOS: Dustin May-134
W 2-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Ryan Bergert • BOS: Garrett Crochet-220
W 5-8 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Bailey Falter • BOS: Brayan Bello-154
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Lucas Giolito • SDP: Michael King-128
L 10-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Walker Buehler • SDP: Nick Pivetta-154
W 3-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Nestor Cortes • ARI: Anthony DeSclafani-118
W 10-5 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Yu Darvish • ARI: Ryne Nelson-117
L 2-6 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Nestor Cortes • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt-125

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CCarlos NarvaezQuestionable
  • PHunter Dobbins10-day IL
  • PTanner HouckOut for Season
  • 2BMarcelo Mayer10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • No Reported Injuries
WSW 7 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)78°78°78°77°
Humidity66%66%67%68%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWSW 7 mphWSW 7 mphW 7 mphW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+118+129+125+126+133+129+133+134.4
Padres-130-139-149-139-143-142-139-134.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+111+130+130+128+129+131+131+134.4
Padres-125-145-145-143-145-142-142-134.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +114 to +106
Padres ML moved from -133 to -141

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Padres ML moved from -137 to -145

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-177+1½-168+1½-175+1½-172+1½-175+1½-172+1½-168+1½-159
Padres-1½+155-1½+152-1½+150-1½+151-1½+155-1½+151-1½+155-1½+159
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-110+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165+1½-159
Padres-1½-110-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+159

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o7½-113o7½-115o7½-114o7½-115o7½-114o7½-113o7½-104
Underu8½-110u7½-103u7½-105u7½-106u7½-105u7½-106u7½-103u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o7½-115o8+100o7½-120o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½-104
Underu8½-120u7½-105u8-120u7½+100u7½-105u7½-110u7½+100u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+105 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8½-125 to u8-125