Red Sox at Brewers

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(89-73)
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
55.9%44.1%
Red Sox WinBrewers Win
3.62Projected Runs 3.00
2Final Score 3

Milwaukee Brewers

(97-65)
Rank4
R/G5.1
RA/G4.1
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank4
R/G5.1
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Garrett Crochet (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
114-31.981.068

Chad Patrick (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
102-43.231.264

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • BOS: Walker Buehler-124
L 2-1 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Trevor Rogers • BOS: Lucas Giolito-132
W 5-6 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Zach Eflin • BOS: Hunter Dobbins-105
W 5-19 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Cade Povich • BOS: Brayan Bello-113
L 5-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • BOS: Garrett Crochet-140
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 6-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Logan Henderson • PIT: Bailey Falter-152
L 1-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Quinn Priester • PIT: Mitch Keller+100
L 5-6 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Freddy Peralta • PIT: Paul Skenes+113
W 8-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Aaron Civale • PIT: Mike Burrows-110
L 8-4 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Tomoyuki Sugano • MIL: Chad Patrick+100

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 1BTriston CasasOut
  • PKutter Crawford60-day IL
  • PTanner Houck15-day IL
  • 1BRomy Gonzalez10-day IL
  • PChris Murphy60-day IL
  • LFMasataka Yoshida60-day IL
  • PRichard Fitts15-day IL
  • PPatrick Sandoval60-day IL
  • 3BAlex Bregman10-day IL
  • PLiam Hendriks15-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PRobert Gasser60-day IL
  • PNestor Cortes60-day IL
  • PQuinn PriesterQuestionable
  • PBrandon Woodruff15-day IL
  • CFGarrett Mitchell10-day IL
  • CFBlake Perkins60-day IL
  • PConnor Thomas15-day IL
  • PJose Quintana15-day IL
NE 10 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)62°63°63°63°
Humidity50%47%45%44%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindNE 10 mphENE 10 mphENE 9 mphENE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-150-159-175-166-159-166-159-156.0
Brewers+136+147+144+150+149+150+150+156.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-152-165-155-162-168-162-162-156.0
Brewers+136+150+139+147+148+147+150+156.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -158 to -170
Brewers ML moved from +141 to +135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -155 to -165
No Steam Moves On Brewers ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+115-1½+107-1½+110-1½+101-1½+105-1½+101-1½+110-1½+110
Brewers+1½-135+1½-123+1½-130+1½-121+1½-125+1½-121+1½-121+1½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+115-1½+110-1½+110-1½+115-1½+110-1½+110-1½+115-1½+110
Brewers+1½-135+1½-130+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+105o7-123o7-120o7-123o7-115o7-123o7-115o7-112
Underu8-125u7+107u7+100u7+103u7-105u7+103u7+107u7+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7½-105o7-120o7½+105o7½-105o7-120o7-120o7-112
Underu7½-115u7½-115u7+100u7½-125u7½-115u7+100u7½-115u7+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-125 to u7-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-120 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-120
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