Reds at Cubs

Updated
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4
44.2%55.8%
Reds WinCubs Win
3.86Projected Runs 4.47
4Final Score 3
Rank7
R/G5.4
RA/G4.6
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4
Rank7
R/G5.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Luis Cessa (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
43-25.181.418

Adrian Sampson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
131-53.951.33

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 7-1 at Chicago CubsCIN: Mike Minor • CHC: Javier Assad+130
L 3-9 at Chicago CubsCIN: Justin Dunn • CHC: Wade Miley+145
W 0-10 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Jose Urena • CIN: Chase Anderson-113
L 8-4 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: German Marquez • CIN: Nick Lodolo-120
W 2-3 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Kyle Freeland • CIN: Luis Cessa-118
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 7-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Mike Minor • CHC: Javier Assad-140
W 3-9 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Justin Dunn • CHC: Wade Miley-150
L 0-2 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Marcus Stroman • STL: Miles Mikolas+166
L 4-8 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Drew Smyly • STL: Adam Wainwright+185
L 0-8 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Adrian Sampson • STL: Jordan Montgomery+227

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PJeff Hoffman60-day IL
  • PGraham AshcraftUnknown
  • SSMatt Reynolds10-day IL
  • 1BJoey VottoOut for Season
  • PT.J. ZeuchUnknown
  • CFNick SenzelUnknown
  • 3BMike MoustakasOut for Season
  • CFAlbert Almora Jr.10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • -Steven BraultUnknown
  • 3BPatrick Wisdom10-day IL
  • 2BNick MadrigalRest
  • PAlec Mills60-day IL
  • PKeegan ThompsonUnknown
  • PKyle HendricksOut for Season
  • CWillson Contreras10-day IL
  • PJustin SteeleUnknown
  • 3BChristopher MorelRest
E 6 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)79°80°80°80°
Humidity56%54%54%53%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindE 6 mphESE 6 mphESE 7 mphESE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+139+124+120+122+122+122+124+127.3
Cubs-151-134-143-132-132-132-132-127.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+135+130+125+122+129+126+130+127.3
Cubs-145-140-137-145-140-136-136-127.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
No Steam Moves On Cubs ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 40.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
No Steam Moves On Cubs ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-170+1½-168+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-168+1½-157
Cubs-1½+145-1½+152-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+152-1½+157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-164+1½-165+1½-167+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-157
Cubs-1½+145-1½+145-1½+148-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+148-1½+157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½+102o8-115o8-113o8-113o8-113o8-113o8-104
Underu8½-115u8½-118u8-105u8-107u8-107u8-107u8½-118u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-120o8½+100o8-120o8-125o8-120o8½+100o8-104
Underu8½-120u8+100u8½-120u8+100u8+105u8+100u8+105u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-109 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105