Nationals at Mets

Updated
Rank26
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
37.3%62.7%
Nationals WinMets Win
3.71Projected Runs 5.04
3Final Score 5
Rank12
R/G4.8
RA/G4.1
Rank26
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
Rank12
R/G4.8
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Sean Nolin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-29.02.429

Marcus Stroman (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
269-122.851.115

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 2-1 at New York MetsWSN: Paolo Espino • NYM: Rich Hill+176
L 5-7 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Patrick Corbin • MIA: Elieser Hernandez+110
L 3-4 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Josiah Gray • MIA: Edward Cabrera+100
W 5-1 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Erick Fedde • MIA: Jesus Luzardo+102
L 3-7 at Milwaukee BrewersWSN: Sean Nolin • MIL: Adrian Houser+200
New York Mets
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Paolo Espino • NYM: Rich Hill-185
L 3-2 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Wood • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+106
L 3-2 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Johnny Cueto • NYM: Taijuan Walker-103
L 8-0 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Sammy Long • NYM: Tylor Megill-116
W 7-2 at Los Angeles DodgersNYM: Marcus Stroman • LAD: David Price+165

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • CFVictor RoblesRest
  • PJoe Ross60-day IL
  • CTres BarreraRest
  • 2BStarlin CastroOut

New York Mets

Status
  • PJake Reed10-day IL
  • 2BLuis Guillorme10-day IL
  • 3BJ.D. DavisRest
  • CJames McCann10-day IL
  • RFMichael ConfortoRest
  • LFDominic SmithRest
  • PDrew Smith10-day IL
  • PJacob deGrom60-day IL
E 8 mph
Citi Field, Flushing
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)70°70°71°72°
Humidity78%79%79%79%
Precipitation8%11%8%5%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindE 8 mphE 8 mphE 8 mphE 8 mph
Laz Diaz
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+192-+205+201+192+201+205-
Mets-210--240-222-222-222-222-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+192+190+200+200+205+194+205-
Mets-212-220-222-220-230-214-214-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +200 to +193
Mets ML moved from -220 to -230

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
Mets ML moved from -212 to -230

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-110-+1½-105+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-105-
Mets-1½-110--1½-115-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-111+1½-110+1½-108+1½-105+1½-105+1½-110+1½-105-
Mets-1½-107-1½-110-1½-110-1½-115-1½-115-1½-110-1½-110-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115-o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110-
Underu8½-105-u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-115o8½+100o8-110o8-110o8-105o8-105-
Underu8½-115u8-105u8½-120u8-110u8-110u8-115u8½-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-117
The Under moved from u8-103 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-110