Mariners at Red Sox

Updated

Seattle Mariners

(12-12)
Rank9
R/G3.7
RA/G3.6
45.1%54.9%
Mariners WinRed Sox Win
4.30Projected Runs 4.81
3Final Score 5

Boston Red Sox

(14-11)
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6
Rank9
R/G3.7
RA/G3.6
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6

Pitching

Nick Margevicius (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-15.41.2

Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
33-03.380.875

Last 5 Games

Seattle Mariners
Money Line
W 8-2 at Boston Red SoxSEA: Chris Flexen • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi+180
L 5-6 at Boston Red SoxSEA: Yusei Kikuchi • BOS: Martin Perez+136
W 7-3 at Boston Red SoxSEA: Justin Dunn • BOS: Nick Pivetta+155
L 1-0 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Julio Urias • SEA: Marco Gonzales+175
W 3-4 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Dustin May • SEA: Justus Sheffield+185
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 8-2 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Chris Flexen • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi-190
W 5-6 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Yusei Kikuchi • BOS: Martin Perez-141
L 7-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Justin Dunn • BOS: Nick Pivetta-163
L 6-3 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Trent Thornton • BOS: Garrett Richards-124
W 2-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Hyun Jin Ryu • BOS: Eduardo Rodriguez+100

Injuries

Seattle Mariners

Status
  • PKen Giles60-day IL
  • PJames Paxton10-day IL
  • PAndres Munoz60-day IL
  • 2BShed Long10-day IL
  • PNick MargeviciusQuestionable
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PRyan Brasier10-day IL
  • CFAlex VerdugoUnknown
  • PChris SaleOut for Season
NE 7 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)52°52°49°47°
Humidity78%79%88%88%
Precipitation82%71%63%53%
ConditionRainLight RainPossible Light RainPossible Light Rain
WindNE 7 mphNE 8 mphNE 9 mphNE 8 mph
Gabe Morales
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners+184+171+165+171+166+171+171-
Red Sox-200-191-190-186-186-186-186-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners+185+175+173+180+165+175+180-
Red Sox-205-190-191-200-185-190-185-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mariners: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mariners: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mariners: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mariners: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mariners: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mariners ML moved from +175 to +168
Red Sox ML moved from -185 to -193

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mariners: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mariners: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mariners: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mariners: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mariners: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mariners ML moved from +185 to +176
Red Sox ML moved from -190 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners+1½-110+1½-118+1½-115+1½-118+1½-118+1½-118+1½-115-
Red Sox-1½-110-1½-102-1½-105-1½-102-1½-102-1½-102-1½-102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners+1½-105+1½-110+1½-117+1½-115+1½-110+1½-115+1½-110-
Red Sox-1½-115-1½-110-1½-101-1½-105-1½-110-1½-105-1½-101-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o8½-113o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105-
Underu9+100u8½-107u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-107-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o8½-105o8½-102o8½-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½-102-
Underu9-100u8½-115u8½-118u8½-110u8½-115u8½-115u8½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-136
The Under moved from u9-125 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-102 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-118
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