Pirates at Mets

Updated
Rank20
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4
35.9%64.1%
Pirates WinMets Win
3.17Projected Runs 4.66
1Final Score 7
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G4.4
Rank20
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G4.4

Pitching

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
263-114.361.424

Carlos Carrasco (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2514-63.81.304

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 10-4 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Roansy Contreras • CIN: Nick Lodolo+146
W 1-0 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Luis Ortiz • CIN: Fernando Cruz+122
W 6-1 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Johan Oviedo • CIN: Luis Cessa+128
W 6-3 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Bryse Wilson • CIN: Mike Minor+120
L 4-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jose Quintana • PIT: Mitch Keller+145
New York Mets
Money Line
L 6-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Drew Smyly • NYM: David Peterson-197
L 4-1 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adrian Sampson • NYM: Jacob deGrom-415
L 5-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Javier Assad • NYM: Chris Bassitt-280
W 9-3 at Miami MarlinsNYM: Taijuan Walker • MIA: Jesus Luzardo-136
W 11-3 at Miami MarlinsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • MIA: Pablo Lopez-152

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PColin HoldermanUnknown
  • 2BDiego CastilloRest

New York Mets

Status
  • -Bryce Montes de OcaUnknown
  • 3BBrett BatyOut
  • RFStarling Marte10-day IL
  • PMax ScherzerUnknown
NNW 7 mph
Citi Field, Flushing
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)72°70°69°69°
Humidity35%39%44%48%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 7 mphNNW 7 mphNNW 7 mphNNW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+224+227+215+222+213+222+227+230.8
Mets-250-257-265-248-248-248-248-230.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+215+220+229+215+227+230+230+230.8
Mets-245-260-255-267-260-260-255-230.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +224 to +216
Mets ML moved from -251 to -257

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Mets ML moved from -250 to -260

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-115+1½+102+1½+105+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+105+1½+109
Mets-1½-105-1½-118-1½-125-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-118-1½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+100+1½+110+1½+107+1½+105+1½+110+1½+105+1½+110+1½+109
Mets-1½-120-1½-130-1½-125-1½-125-1½-130-1½-125-1½-125-1½-109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7-118o7-125o7½+110o7½+110o7½+110o7½+110o7½+114
Underu8-110u7+102u7+105u7½-130u7½-130u7½-130u7½-123u7½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½-105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+114
Underu8-110u7½-125u7½-125u7½-125u7½-115u7½-125u7½-115u7½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125