Pirates at Twins

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(11-9)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
34.5%65.5%
Pirates WinTwins Win
3.48Projected Runs 5.09
6Final Score 2

Minnesota Twins

(6-12)
Rank16
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
Rank16
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Trevor Cahill (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-29.691.769

Michael Pineda (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-01.00.722

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 0-2 at Minnesota TwinsPIT: JT Brubaker • MIN: J.A. Happ+145
W 4-2 at Detroit TigersPIT: Mitch Keller • DET: Jose Urena+110
L 2-5 at Detroit TigersPIT: Miguel Yajure • DET: Spencer Turnbull+125
W 3-2 at Detroit TigersPIT: Tyler Anderson • DET: Michael Fulmer+118
W 6-5 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Chad Kuhl • MIL: Freddy Peralta+180
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • MIN: J.A. Happ-150
L 12-13 at Oakland AthleticsMIN: Kenta Maeda • OAK: Frankie Montas+102
L 0-1 at Oakland AthleticsMIN: Jose Berrios • OAK: Jesus Luzardo-116
L 0-7 at Oakland AthleticsMIN: Matt Shoemaker • OAK: Sean Manaea+105
L 3-10 at Los Angeles AngelsMIN: Lewis Thorpe • LAA: Andrew Heaney+121

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PSteven Brault60-day IL
  • CFKa'ai Tom10-day IL
  • PBlake Cederlind60-day IL
  • PAustin Davis60-day IL
  • PCody Ponce10-day IL
  • PMichael Feliz10-day IL
  • PChad Kuhl10-day IL
  • CFJared OlivaOut
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesOut
  • PJose Soriano60-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • SSAndrelton SimmonsOut
  • PCaleb Thielbar10-day IL
  • CFKyle Garlick10-day IL
  • PEdwar Colina60-day IL
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
  • SSJT Riddle10-day IL
  • 1BMiguel Sano10-day IL
NNW 10 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)41°42°45°47°
Humidity65%58%47%39%
Precipitation5%2%1%1%
ConditionOvercastOvercastMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNNW 10 mphNNW 10 mphNNW 10 mphNNW 10 mph
Jeremie Rehak
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+170+196+195+192+185+192+196-
Twins-200-220-230-210-210-210-210-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+175+185+192+195+185+190+195-
Twins-195-210-212-215-210-210-210-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +202 to +188
Twins ML moved from -215 to -230

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +180 to +170
Twins ML moved from -200 to -210

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-120+1½-110+1½-105+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-105-
Twins-1½+100-1½-110-1½-115-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-115+1½-115+1½-108+1½-115+1½-110+1½-110+1½-108-
Twins-1½-105-1½-105-1½-110-1½-105-1½-110-1½-110-1½-105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8+105o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+105-
Underu8-110u8-125u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8+100o7½-110o8+105o8+100o8-105o7½-110-
Underu8-110u8-120u7½-110u8-125u8-120u8-115u8-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-119
The Under moved from u8-117 to u8-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120
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