Mets at Cubs

Updated

New York Mets

(12-11)
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
51.8%48.2%
Mets WinCubs Win
5.23Projected Runs 5.05
3Final Score 4

Chicago Cubs

(14-9)
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.5
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Joey Lucchesi (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-15.41.0

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
32-15.021.605

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
L 4-16 at Chicago CubsNYM: David Peterson • CHC: Zach Davies-124
L 1-3 at Chicago CubsNYM: Taijuan Walker • CHC: Jake Arrieta-120
W 2-1 at Colorado RockiesNYM: Marcus Stroman • COL: Antonio Senzatela-175
L 2-7 at Colorado RockiesNYM: Joey Lucchesi • COL: German Marquez-115
W 4-3 at Colorado RockiesNYM: Jacob deGrom • COL: Chi Chi Gonzalez-260
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 4-16 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • CHC: Zach Davies+120
W 1-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Taijuan Walker • CHC: Jake Arrieta+115
L 13-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Bryse Wilson • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-135
W 4-13 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Huascar Ynoa • CHC: Trevor Williams+105
L 5-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Wright • CHC: Zach Davies-108

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PNoah Syndergaard60-day IL
  • PSeth Lugo10-day IL
  • PCarlos Carrasco10-day IL
  • PDrew Smith10-day IL
  • LFJose Martinez60-day IL
  • PDellin Betances10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PRowan Wick10-day IL
  • PJonathan Holder10-day IL
  • LFJoc Pederson10-day IL
  • RFJason HeywardRest
  • PTyson Miller10-day IL
SW 11 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)55°54°53°51°
Humidity39%41%44%49%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSW 11 mphWSW 10 mphWSW 10 mphSW 11 mph
Nic Lentz
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-135+101-105+101+101+101+101-
Cubs+122-111-115-111-111-111-111-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-128-101-101+100+100+100+100-
Cubs+118-109-109-110-110-110-109-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mets: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +102 to -101
Cubs ML moved from -105 to -111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mets: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +103 to -101
Cubs ML moved from -105 to -112

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+120-1½+151-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+151-
Cubs+1½-140+1½-175+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+122-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150+1½-210-
Cubs+1½-140+1½-165+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170-1½+185-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½-118o9½-115o9½-110o9½-110o9½-110o9½-110-
Underu9+100u9½-102u9½-105u9½-110u9½-110u9½-110u9½-102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½-115o9½-110o9½-115o9½-110o9½-110o9½-110-
Underu9+100u9½-105u9½-110u9½-105u9½-110u9½-110u9½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9½+100 to u9½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9½-120
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