Orioles at Pirates

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.5
RA/G5.2
46.0%54.0%
Orioles WinPirates Win
4.07Projected Runs 4.49
2Final Score 3
Rank10
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6
Rank23
R/G4.5
RA/G5.2
Rank10
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Shane Baz (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-06.751.31

Carmen Mlodzinski (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-04.151.38

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 4-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesBAL: Kyle Bradish • PIT: Mitch Keller-115
W 3-8 vs Texas RangersTEX: Nathan Eovaldi • BAL: Trevor Rogers-113
L 8-5 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jacob deGrom • BAL: Zach Eflin+111
L 5-2 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jack Leiter • BAL: Chris Bassitt-122
W 6-8 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • BAL: Shane Baz-146
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Kyle Bradish • PIT: Mitch Keller+106
W 8-3 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Paul Skenes • CIN: Andrew Abbott-137
W 8-3 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Bubba Chandler • CIN: Brandon Williamson-113
L 0-2 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Braxton Ashcraft • CIN: Chase Burns+122
W 4-3 at New York MetsPIT: Carmen Mlodzinski • NYM: Nolan McLean+160

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • PColin Selby60-day IL
  • PZach Eflin15-day IL
  • 3BJordan Westburg60-day IL
  • LFHeston Kjerstad10-day IL
  • 2BJackson Holliday10-day IL
  • PAndrew Kittredge15-day IL
  • PKeegan Akin10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PJared Jones60-day IL
SSW 13 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°82°81°78°
Humidity40%42%42%46%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSW 13 mphSSW 13 mphSSW 12 mphSSW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles-110+100-105+100-103+100+100+104.8
Pirates+100-110-115-110-107-110-107-104.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles-110+104-106-101+102-102+104+104.8
Pirates+100-114-106-114-112-108-106-104.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +101 to -103
Pirates ML moved from -107 to -116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 40.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +102 to -102
Pirates ML moved from -108 to -115

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles-1½+149-1½+156+1½-220+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-190
Pirates+1½-170+1½-189-1½+180-1½+180-1½+175-1½+180-1½+190
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles-1½+150+1½-200+1½-215+1½-200+1½-210+1½-210+1½-200+1½-190
Pirates+1½-170-1½+175-1½+185-1½+170-1½+175-1½+185-1½+185-1½+190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-116o8-115o8½-110o8½+100o8½-110o8-115o8½+100
Underu8½-115u8+103u8-105u8½-110u8½-120u8½-110u8½-110u8½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½+100
Underu8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+105 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under