Pirates at Brewers

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
38.5%61.5%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
3.31Projected Runs 4.51
5Final Score 4
Rank4
R/G5.1
RA/G4.1
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
Rank4
R/G5.1
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Braxton Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
01-01.541.286

Chad Patrick (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
153-73.51.28

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 3-8 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jack Leiter • PIT: Bailey Falter-108
L 3-2 vs Texas RangersTEX: Kumar Rocker • PIT: Mitch Keller-104
L 6-2 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jacob deGrom • PIT: Mike Burrows+180
W 8-4 at Detroit TigersPIT: Paul Skenes • DET: Tyler Holton-120
L 2-9 at Detroit TigersPIT: Andrew Heaney • DET: Tarik Skubal+300
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 9-8 at Minnesota TwinsMIL: Quinn Priester • MIN: Danny Coulombe+120
W 9-0 at Minnesota TwinsMIL: Jose Quintana • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson+117
W 17-6 at Minnesota TwinsMIL: Jacob Misiorowski • MIN: Joe Ryan+138
W 8-7 at Chicago CubsMIL: Freddy Peralta • CHC: Jameson Taillon+116
L 3-5 at Chicago CubsMIL: Chad Patrick • CHC: Ben Brown+140

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CEndy Rodriguez60-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PConnor Thomas60-day IL
  • PBrandon Woodruff15-day IL
SW 15 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)91°90°86°78°
Humidity54%58%66%80%
Precipitation40%0%40%40%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly CloudyThunderstorms
WindSW 15 mphWSW 12 mphWSW 9 mphWNW 12 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+168+144+138+147+144+147+147+153.1
Brewers-186-156-164-163-154-163-154-153.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+168+145+143+146+144+145+146+153.1
Brewers-193-160-160-161-163-160-160-153.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +154 to +148
Brewers ML moved from -181 to -192

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +150 to +144
Brewers ML moved from -164 to -174

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-125+1½-148+1½-150+1½-151+1½-150+1½-151+1½-148+1½-139
Brewers-1½+105-1½+132-1½+130-1½+131-1½+130-1½+131-1½+132-1½+139
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-125+1½-155+1½-155+1½-150+1½-155+1½-155+1½-150+1½-139
Brewers-1½+105-1½+135-1½+135-1½+130-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+139

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-108o8½-110o8½-112o8½-105o8½-112o8½-105o8½-102
Underu8½-105u8½-108u8½-110u8½-108u8½-115u8½-108u8½-108u8½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-102
Underu8½-105u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-112
The Under moved from u8½-114 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115