MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 25, 2023

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-1-2)
Portland Timbers (1-3-0)		31.4%
43.1%		25.5%
+220
+135
+205
+130
1.23
1.49		2.72
o2½-118
u2½+105
o2½-125
u2½+105
Atlanta United (3-0-1)
Columbus Crew (1-2-1)		29.6%
41.4%		29.0%
+176
+160
+165
+155
0.98
1.21		2.19
o2½-117
u2½+105
o2½-120
u2½+100
Chicago Fire (0-1-2)
Inter Miami CF (2-2-0)		21.8%
52.7%		25.5%
+290
+105
+275
+100
0.90
1.56		2.46
o2½-108
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½-105
New England Revolution (3-1-0)
D.C. United (1-2-1)		34.8%
37.3%		27.9%
+215
+133
+210
+130
1.16
1.20		2.36
o2½-123
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+110
New York Red Bulls (1-1-2)
Charlotte FC (1-3-0)		31.2%
39.6%		29.1%
+183
+168
+180
+155
1.01
1.17		2.18
o2¼-108
u2½-140
o2½+125
u2½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Orlando City (1-1-2)
Philadelphia Union (2-2-0)		14.6%
64.0%		21.3%
+398
-134
+375
-140
0.78
1.91		2.69
o2½-125
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+110
New York City (2-1-1)
Houston Dynamo (1-2-0)		37.3%
34.1%		28.6%
+184
+159
+175
+155
1.17
1.10		2.27
o2½-111
u2½-103
o2½-105
u2½-105
Colorado Rapids (0-3-1)
Austin FC (2-2-0)		18.0%
60.0%		22.0%
+440
-155
+430
-165
0.93
1.89		2.82
o3+121
u3-138
o2½-140
u3-140
Seattle Sounders (2-1-1)
Sporting Kansas City (0-2-2)		32.6%
39.7%		27.7%
+208
+140
+195
+140
1.12
1.26		2.38
o2½-114
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½-105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-2-2)
Minnesota United (2-0-1)		24.7%
50.1%		25.3%
+203
+135
+200
+130
1.02
1.57		2.59
o2½-121
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+105
FC Cincinnati (2-0-2)
Nashville SC (2-1-1)		22.3%
51.9%		25.8%
+290
+107
+290
+100
0.91
1.53		2.44
o2¼-122
u2½-124
o2½+105
u2½-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
St Louis City (4-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (1-2-0)		24.1%
51.0%		24.8%
+288
-104
+275
-105
1.03
1.62		2.65
o2¾+100
u2¾-120
o2½-125
u2½+105
FC Dallas (2-1-1)
Los Angeles FC (2-0-1)		17.5%
61.0%		21.4%
+485
-159
+450
-170
0.94
1.96		2.90
o2½-136
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+115
Toronto FC (1-1-2)
San Jose Earthquakes (2-2-0)		29.9%
45.0%		25.1%
+340
-115
+340
-125
1.21
1.54		2.75
o2½-133
u2¾-112
o2½-135
u2½+115
Games for Mar 24, 2023
Games for Mar 26, 2023

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
St Louis City
Portland Timbers		16.1%
63.8%		20.1%
+335
-122
+310
+100
2
1		-1.50539-1.42508-1.82934
Austin FC
Real Salt Lake		27.9%
46.1%		26.0%
+262
+112
+265
+120
2
1		-1.30815-1.30885-1.27773
New York Red Bulls
Minnesota United		32.6%
38.7%		28.7%
+188
+166
+181
+160
1
1		-1.23460-1.22571-1.24862
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City		31.4%
42.8%		25.8%
+254
+115
+227
+120
0
0		-1.33397-1.32242-1.35298
Montreal Impact
Nashville SC		22.0%
52.7%		25.3%
+360
-115
+340
-119
0
2		-0.64659-0.64934-0.64120
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union		12.5%
66.8%		20.7%
+640
-207
+630
-230
0
1		-0.42057-0.41109-0.40314
Seattle Sounders
FC Cincinnati		29.8%
43.4%		26.7%
+250
+119
+250
+113
0
1		-0.80082-0.78856-0.83418
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC		28.9%
43.9%		27.2%
+230
+127
+240
+124
1
1		-1.27956-1.27870-1.30339
Orlando City
D.C. United		33.8%
39.1%		27.1%
+325
-105
+320
+120
1
1		-1.31994-1.25092-1.30501
Inter Miami CF
New York City		15.2%
63.5%		21.3%
+415
-127
+415
-137
0
1		-0.59742-0.59325-0.45427
FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps		33.2%
38.0%		28.8%
+238
+133
+235
+135
1
1		-1.25316-1.23128-1.24368
Atlanta United
Charlotte FC		27.8%
43.8%		28.4%
+194
+144
+190
+137
3
0		-1.10208-1.10830-1.27769
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes		28.4%
46.4%		25.2%
+281
-101
+290
-115
1
2		-0.70932-0.66799-0.76791
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders		20.2%
55.9%		23.9%
+465
-145
+450
-145
0
2		-0.53895-0.55415-0.58182
Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids		30.0%
42.8%		27.1%
+255
+115
+280
+110
0
0		-1.30523-1.29792-1.30442
Los Angeles Galaxy
FC Dallas		27.0%
46.5%		26.5%
+280
+104
+280
+115
1
3		-0.74663-0.77538-0.76628
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 03/12/23
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.
1St Louis City (3-0-0, 9 pts)14.812.66.651.086.0%7.0%
2Atlanta United (2-0-1, 7 pts)14.111.38.651.079.0%10.0%
3Nashville SC (2-0-1, 7 pts)15.010.88.253.290.0%16.0%
4FC Cincinnati (2-0-1, 7 pts)14.511.28.351.782.0%16.0%
5Los Angeles FC (2-0-0, 6 pts)18.68.86.762.599.0%58.0%
6Seattle Sounders (2-1-0, 6 pts)14.512.07.551.085.0%9.0%
7Inter Miami CF (2-1-0, 6 pts)14.012.67.449.477.0%11.0%
8Philadelphia Union (2-1-0, 6 pts)15.211.07.853.486.0%15.0%
9Austin FC (2-1-0, 6 pts)14.512.66.950.578.0%7.0%
10San Jose Earthquakes (2-1-0, 6 pts)12.514.47.044.655.0%0.0%
11New England Revolution (2-1-0, 6 pts)14.012.37.749.878.0%7.0%
12Orlando City (1-0-2, 5 pts)11.612.99.444.447.0%2.0%
13FC Dallas (1-1-1, 4 pts)13.112.78.247.574.0%2.0%
14Minnesota United (1-0-1, 4 pts)12.813.18.246.463.0%6.0%
15Columbus Crew (1-1-1, 4 pts)12.412.88.746.057.0%5.0%
16D.C. United (1-1-1, 4 pts)10.215.58.338.923.0%1.0%
17New York City (1-1-1, 4 pts)13.611.58.849.772.0%6.0%
18Portland Timbers (1-2-0, 3 pts)13.113.87.246.567.0%2.0%
19Real Salt Lake (1-2-0, 3 pts)12.314.17.644.556.0%1.0%
20Toronto FC (0-1-2, 2 pts)11.213.39.543.137.0%0.0%
21New York Red Bulls (0-1-2, 2 pts)12.511.610.047.462.0%8.0%
22Sporting Kansas City (0-1-2, 2 pts)12.412.09.646.966.0%4.0%
23Chicago Fire (0-1-1, 1 pts)11.313.88.942.739.0%2.0%
24Vancouver Whitecaps (0-2-1, 1 pts)11.214.68.241.847.0%3.0%
25Los Angeles Galaxy (0-1-1, 1 pts)13.412.48.248.469.0%1.0%
26Colorado Rapids (0-2-1, 1 pts)11.114.88.141.440.0%0.0%
27Houston Dynamo (0-2-0, 0 pts)9.617.07.436.215.0%0.0%
28Montreal Impact (0-3-0, 0 pts)12.414.86.943.948.0%0.0%
29Charlotte FC (0-3-0, 0 pts)10.616.27.239.023.0%1.0%