Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Almere City
RKC Waalwijk		32.6%
39.4%		27.9%
+160
+177
+160
+170
0
2		-1.05699-1.04120-0.93069
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen		19.7%
56.5%		23.8%
+300
+110
+335
-115
0
6		-0.75786-0.67495-0.57024
Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam		34.8%
38.0%		27.1%
+170
+177
+155
+170
4
1		-1.01344-0.98714-1.05486
Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles		14.9%
65.4%		19.7%
+508
-182
+425
-160
2
2		-1.53568-1.45013-1.62562
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard		30.5%
43.6%		25.9%
+251
+119
+255
+110
0
3		-0.81480-0.78858-0.83041
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord		14.4%
66.8%		18.8%
+460
-145
+460
-165
2
3		-0.54782-0.52373-0.40380
NAC Breda
Heracles Almelo		31.2%
44.3%		24.5%
+235
+125
+235
+120
0
2		-0.84323-0.83873-0.81371
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax		39.2%
34.8%		26.0%
+154
+168
+130
+200
2
3		-1.02438-1.15103-1.05486
Twente
Willem II		64.7%
15.4%		20.0%
-141
+447
-155
+455
1
0		-0.56003-0.54775-0.43609
Ajax
Feyenoord		22.7%
54.1%		23.2%
+269
+105
+285
-105
2
0		-1.34458-1.39659-1.48069
Go Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar		13.2%
68.6%		18.2%
+393
-137
+375
-145
2
2		-1.40336-1.43734-1.70254
Willem II
Ajax		6.4%
81.5%		12.1%
+690
-248
+700
-265
0
1		-0.37764-0.36993-0.20485
Heracles Almelo
Twente		5.1%
84.1%		10.9%
+1014
-407
+890
-390
0
5		-0.25873-0.27892-0.17360
Feyenoord
Utrecht		54.3%
22.7%		23.0%
-103
+282
-120
+295
2
0		-0.71715-0.65662-0.61077
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen		21.2%
55.4%		23.4%
+194
+133
+190
+130
0
2		-0.88470-0.88160-0.59084
RKC Waalwijk
NAC Breda		35.8%
38.9%		25.3%
+421
-148
+400
-145
1
4		-0.55481-0.57481-0.94348
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.