Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Go Ahead Eagles
Willem II		28.9%
45.3%		25.7%
+172
+165
+155
+165
0
2		-1.00641-1.02449-0.79089
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles Almelo		79.0%
7.7%		13.2%
-618
+1400
-650
+1300
3
1		-0.18740-0.19416-0.23536
Groningen
RKC Waalwijk		28.5%
44.9%		26.6%
+145
+194
+145
+175
2
1		-0.92183-0.94819-1.25674
NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar		11.2%
71.5%		17.3%
+540
-196
+520
-200
0
1		-0.44295-0.45680-0.33543
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente		10.0%
73.8%		16.2%
+419
-157
+390
-160
1
1		-1.51199-1.50932-1.82133
Utrecht
Heerenveen		25.8%
49.5%		24.6%
+137
+201
+135
+175
1
1		-1.32249-1.34573-1.40080
Almere City
Fortuna Sittard		18.3%
59.6%		22.2%
+380
-122
+365
-130
0
3		-0.62222-0.61984-0.51819
Heerenveen
Ajax		17.5%
61.3%		21.2%
+605
-226
+550
-240
0
1		-0.38644-0.39730-0.48954
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles		30.0%
44.2%		25.7%
+272
+111
+260
+100
2
0		-1.34178-1.33139-1.20231
Zwolle
Utrecht		14.4%
66.4%		19.2%
+504
-185
+560
-230
0
1		-0.45921-0.41225-0.40965
Heracles Almelo
Sparta Rotterdam		17.9%
60.1%		22.0%
+662
-237
+510
-210
0
0		-1.69059-1.60869-1.51336
RKC Waalwijk
PSV Eindhoven		4.2%
87.0%		8.9%
+2411
-1109
+2500
-1450
1
5		-0.11502-0.11631-0.13956
AZ Alkmaar
Almere City		59.4%
18.3%		22.3%
-137
+419
-160
+440
1
0		-0.57811-0.53485-0.52116
Twente
NEC Nijmegen		50.7%
24.2%		25.0%
+129
+227
+110
+240
2
1		-0.84488-0.78891-0.67867
Willem II
Feyenoord		4.5%
85.9%		9.6%
+2067
-713
+2100
-1050
1
1		-2.29056-2.44611-2.34779
NAC Breda
Groningen		10.1%
75.1%		14.8%
+435
-147
+420
-160
1
4		-0.55113-0.53302-0.28594
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.