Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam 		14.4%
66.3%		19.3%
+355
-133

0.89
2.17		3.06
o3¼-101
u3¼-118

Twente
Go Ahead Eagles 		45.6%
28.5%		25.8%
-121
+310

1.49
1.12		2.61
o3-112
u3¼-135

Telstar
Fortuna Sittard 		28.3%
44.6%		27.0%
+220
+115

1.04
1.38		2.42
o2¾-118
u2¾-101

Feyenoord
NAC Breda 		59.8%
20.4%		19.8%
-114
+300

2.24
1.24		3.48
o2¾-112
u2¾-106

Volendam
NEC Nijmegen 		7.0%
78.7%		14.3%
+775
-323

0.62
2.51		3.13
o3½-118
u3¾-129

Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Heracles Almelo
Ajax		3.2%
88.7%		8.0%
+1018
-375
+900
-475
1
4		-0.25500-0.24315-0.11991
RKC Waalwijk
Heerenveen		19.6%
57.5%		22.9%
+444
-166
+435
-170
1
3		-0.50756-0.51316-0.55292
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven		8.9%
77.2%		13.9%
+876
-303
+650
-300
0
2		-0.30198-0.34053-0.25843
Vitesse
Volendam		45.5%
28.1%		26.3%
-103
+281
-110
+280
2
1		-0.70700-0.69555-0.78640
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente		12.2%
69.9%		17.9%
+705
-241
+650
-260
0
1		-0.38114-0.37395-0.35829
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam		46.7%
27.5%		25.8%
-109
+315
-115
+320
1
1		-1.32242-1.33044-1.35623
Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam		33.2%
39.7%		27.1%
+140
+202
+150
+180
4
5		-1.13981-1.07960-0.92389
Heerenveen
Twente		14.6%
65.7%		19.7%
+656
-255
+615
-260
0
4		-0.37005-0.37494-0.42077
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht		20.2%
57.2%		22.6%
+320
-105
+305
-115
2
1		-1.46352-1.44949-1.60083
Twente
Heerenveen		41.7%
31.5%		26.8%
-103
+285
-120
+320
2
1		-0.71311-0.65514-0.87431
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard		34.9%
37.6%		27.6%
+154
+160
+150
+160
1
1		-1.44958-1.37176-1.28822
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar		37.9%
36.1%		25.9%
+189
+143
+140
+170
2
1		-1.08868-0.92445-0.96980
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen		23.4%
52.2%		24.4%
+264
+105
+215
+110
0
2		-0.74389-0.79396-0.65018
Vitesse
Feyenoord		6.2%
82.3%		11.5%
+599
-257
+610
-280
1
0		-1.96568-2.01036-2.77981
Emmen
Utrecht		13.7%
68.0%		18.3%
+826
-328
+500
-210
2
3		-0.29437-0.44055-0.38571
Excelsior
Volendam		28.6%
43.3%		28.1%
+291
-125
+335
-150
2
3		-0.62269-0.55930-0.83686
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.78764 
Sportsbooks30-0-0 (0.500)3 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.79824
-0.01060

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.