Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 27 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/29/2023 11:15 AM	Feyenoord Twente	34.4% 38.8%	26.8%	+105 +254 -105 +265	1 2	-1.29634-1.34623	-0.94577
10/28/2023 07:00 PM	Utrecht Fortuna Sittard	48.1% 27.3%	24.5%	+203 +134 +200 +125	0 0	-1.30320-1.34519	-1.40560
10/28/2023 06:00 PM	Go Ahead Eagles Almere City	39.0% 33.0%	28.0%	+135 +204 +130 +200	0 0	-1.30250-1.30523	-1.27200
10/28/2023 06:00 PM	RKC Waalwijk Sparta Rotterdam	18.3% 59.7%	21.9%	+349 -127 +330 -125	0 2	-0.61863-0.63779	-0.51552
10/28/2023 04:45 PM	Heracles Almelo Heerenveen	24.6% 50.5%	24.9%	+351 -134 +325 -130	0 3	-0.59222-0.61982	-0.68286
10/27/2023 06:00 PM	Zwolle Vitesse	14.6% 65.9%	19.4%	+233 +112 +260 +100	1 1	-1.35371-1.34519	-1.63753
10/22/2023 02:45 PM	Sparta Rotterdam Go Ahead Eagles	31.7% 41.6%	26.7%	+247 +106 +240 +105	0 0	-1.36324-1.35919	-1.32054
10/22/2023 12:30 PM	Zwolle Excelsior	32.3% 39.8%	27.9%	+195 +130 +190 +130	4 2	-1.11541-1.11337	-1.13109
10/22/2023 12:30 PM	Twente Heracles Almelo	49.0% 25.8%	25.3%	-182 +492 -170 +435	2 2	-1.53996-1.49749	-1.37599
10/22/2023 10:15 AM	Ajax Utrecht	56.8% 20.7%	22.5%	-106 +278 -115 +275	3 4	-1.36916-1.37200	-1.57277
10/21/2023 07:00 PM	Heerenveen AZ Alkmaar	9.9% 74.2%	15.8%	+727 -259 +750 -275	0 3	-0.35882-0.35988	-0.29785
10/21/2023 07:00 PM	Vitesse Feyenoord	9.8% 74.9%	15.4%	+1978 -787 +1500 -690	0 4	-0.15685-0.18494	-0.28962
10/21/2023 06:00 PM	Almere City NEC Nijmegen	17.0% 60.4%	22.6%	+310 -115 +310 -120	1 1	-1.37015-1.38617	-1.48642
10/21/2023 04:45 PM	Fortuna Sittard PSV Eindhoven	4.0% 87.6%	8.4%	+1500 -578 +1500 -800	1 3	-0.18242-0.16790	-0.13214
10/21/2023 04:45 PM	Volendam RKC Waalwijk	16.0% 62.6%	21.3%	+340 -134 +365 -160	1 2	-0.58686-0.53450	-0.46769
10/08/2023 02:45 PM	PSV Eindhoven Sparta Rotterdam	60.7% 18.4%	20.9%	-264 +700 -275 +650	4 0	-0.35672-0.35750	-0.49954

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.