Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 27 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/23/2023 10:15 AM	Sparta Rotterdam Twente	12.2% 69.9%	17.9%	+716 -232 +585 -210	3 3	-1.59623-1.53104	-1.72003
04/22/2023 07:00 PM	Excelsior Vitesse	14.4% 65.7%	19.9%	+580 -227 +580 -230	0 0	-1.65789-1.63624	-1.61299
04/22/2023 04:45 PM	Emmen Heerenveen	15.7% 64.4%	20.0%	+458 -145 +420 -145	3 2	-1.74824-1.69489	-1.85361
04/21/2023 06:00 PM	Cambuur Volendam	28.9% 46.0%	25.1%	+359 -128 +355 -145	0 2	-0.59014-0.57576	-0.77594
04/19/2023 04:45 PM	RKC Waalwijk Go Ahead Eagles	21.2% 55.2%	23.6%	+279 -102 +280 -105	2 3	-0.70883-0.71719	-0.59426
04/16/2023 06:00 PM	Emmen Ajax	2.5% 91.1%	6.3%	+2316 -827 +2000 -950	1 3	-0.14033-0.14881	-0.09275
04/16/2023 06:00 PM	AZ Alkmaar Fortuna Sittard	66.6% 14.6%	18.7%	-139 +420 -140 +365	3 0	-0.56259-0.58625	-0.40626
04/16/2023 02:45 PM	Feyenoord Cambuur	80.7% 7.4%	11.9%	-429 +1250 -475 +1100	3 0	-0.23223-0.24010	-0.21456
04/16/2023 12:30 PM	PSV Eindhoven Volendam	80.5% 6.8%	12.6%	-363 +881 -385 +870	3 2	-0.27193-0.28154	-0.21654
04/16/2023 12:30 PM	Twente Utrecht	38.4% 34.6%	27.0%	+120 +247 +120 +220	0 1	-1.26372-1.21456	-1.06036
04/16/2023 10:15 AM	Vitesse NEC Nijmegen	29.2% 44.2%	26.7%	+220 +133 +225 +120	4 1	-1.19017-1.22946	-1.23172
04/15/2023 07:00 PM	Heerenveen Sparta Rotterdam	30.1% 43.0%	26.8%	+215 +146 +210 +130	0 4	-0.91980-0.88312	-0.84339
04/15/2023 04:45 PM	Groningen RKC Waalwijk	25.0% 48.6%	26.4%	+300 +101 +295 -110	1 2	-0.71576-0.69631	-0.72093
04/14/2023 06:00 PM	Go Ahead Eagles Excelsior	39.7% 32.3%	28.0%	+140 +197 +130 +195	1 2	-1.12074-1.13206	-1.13038
04/09/2023 06:00 PM	RKC Waalwijk Feyenoord	4.6% 85.5%	9.9%	+1729 -590 +1400 -650	1 5	-0.17894-0.19283	-0.15691
04/09/2023 02:45 PM	Fortuna Sittard Ajax	2.5% 91.4%	6.2%	+1606 -640 +1650 -850	0 4	-0.16601-0.16180	-0.09027

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.