Tampa Bay at New Orleans

Updated
Rank1
P/G0.0
PA/G0.0
54.9%45.1%
Tampa Bay WinNew Orleans Win
26.7Projected Points 24.6
27Final Score 36
Rank20
P/G0.0
PA/G0.0
Rank1
P/G0.0
PA/G0.0
Rank20
P/G0.0
PA/G0.0

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.07325.0213

Jameis Winston

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
60.55201.0131

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 3-38 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • TB: Tom Brady-695
W 28-22 at Philadelphia EaglesTB: Tom Brady • PHI: Jalen Hurts-290
W 17-45 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Jacoby Brissett • TB: Tom Brady-600
W 19-17 at New England PatriotsTB: Tom Brady • NE: Mac Jones-276
L 24-34 at Los Angeles RamsTB: Tom Brady • LAR: Matthew Stafford-105
New Orleans Saints
Money Line
W 13-10 at Seattle SeahawksNO: Jameis Winston • SEA: Geno Smith-230
W 33-22 at Washington Football TeamNO: Jameis Winston • WAS: Taylor Heinicke-135
L 27-21 vs New York GiantsNYG: Daniel Jones • NO: Jameis Winston-332
W 28-13 at New England PatriotsNO: Jameis Winston • NE: Mac Jones+130
L 7-26 at Carolina PanthersNO: Jameis Winston • CAR: Sam Darnold-150

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • DLNdamukong SuhProbable
  • CBCarlton DavisIR
  • DEJason Pierre-PaulProbable
  • LBLavonte DavidProbable
  • CBRichard ShermanProbable
  • WRAntonio BrownOut
  • TERob GronkowskiProbable
  • CBDee DelaneyOut

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • RBDwayne WashingtonOut
  • QBTaysom HillOut
  • DEPayton TurnerOut
  • RBTony Jones Jr.Out
  • CBMarshon LattimoreProbable
  • GAndrus PeatDoubtful
  • WRDeonte HarrisProbable
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Clete Blakeman
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-235-200-210-191-195-191-191-172.0
New Orleans+200+170+175+166+170+166+175+172.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-215-190-195-210-196-185-185-172.0
New Orleans+185+170+173+180+173+165+180+172.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-4-110-4-110-4-110-3½-110-4-109-3½-110-3½-110-4+107
New Orleans+4-110+4-110+4-110+3½-110+4-109+3½-110+4-109+4-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-4½-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4+107
New Orleans+4½-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
New Orleans: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -3½-106 to -3½-112
New Orleans Spread moved from +4-105 to +3½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
New Orleans: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -4+100 to -4-110
New Orleans Spread moved from +4-110 to +4-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50½-110o48½-110o48½-105o48½-105o48-109o48½-105o48-109o48½+108
Underu50½-110u48½-110u48½-115u48½-115u48-109u48½-115u48½-110u48½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50-110o48½-110o48-110o48½-110o49-110o48½-110o48-110o48½+108
Underu50-110u48½-110u48-110u48½-110u49-110u48½-110u49-110u48½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49-105 to o48½-110
The Under moved from u48½-109 to u48-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48½-110 to o49-110
The Under moved from u49-110 to u48-110