New England at San Francisco

Updated
Rank31
P/G12.4
PA/G20.4
19.2%80.8%
WinSan Francisco Win
13.1Projected Points 24.9
13Final Score 30
Rank6
P/G25.2
PA/G21.2
Rank31
P/G12.4
PA/G20.4
Rank6
P/G25.2
PA/G21.2

Quarterbacks

Jacoby Brissett

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
60.93122.710

Brock Purdy

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
72.63280.741

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
L 3-24 at New York JetsNE: Jacoby Brissett • NYJ: Aaron Rodgers+270
L 23-20 vs Seattle SeahawksSEA: Geno Smith • NE: Jacoby Brissett+145
W 16-10 at Cincinnati BengalsNE: Jacoby Brissett • CIN: Joe Burrow+335
L 17-3 vs New York JetsNYJ: Trevor Siemian • NE: Bailey Zappe-140
L 21-27 at Buffalo BillsNE: Bailey Zappe • BUF: Josh Allen+800
San Francisco 49ers
Money Line
L 24-27 at Los Angeles RamsSF: Brock Purdy • LAR: Matthew Stafford-260
L 17-23 at Minnesota VikingsSF: Brock Purdy • MIN: Sam Darnold-200
W 19-32 vs New York JetsNYJ: Aaron Rodgers • SF: Brock Purdy-185
L 22-25 vs Kansas City ChiefsSF: Brock Purdy • KC: Patrick Mahomes-125
W 31-34 vs Detroit LionsDET: Jared Goff • SF: Brock Purdy-340

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • LBOshane XiminesIR
  • LBAnfernee JenningsOut
  • TCaedan WallaceProbable
  • -Vederian LoweOut
  • DBJonathan JonesProbable
  • OLSidy SowProbable
  • CBAlex AustinIR
  • DBJabrill PeppersProbable
  • GMichael JordanOut
  • LBJa'Whaun BentleyOut for Season

San Francisco 49ers

Status
  • DLJavon HargraveOut for Season
  • TTrent WilliamsProbable
  • QBBrock PurdyProbable
  • RBChristian McCaffreyIR
  • DLJordan ElliottQuestionable
  • WRRicky PearsallOut
  • LBDee WintersProbable
  • WRDeebo SamuelProbable
  • TEGeorge KittleProbable
  • LBCurtis RobinsonOut for Season
  • STalanoa HufangaOut
NW 5 mph
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)73°76°77°78°
Humidity57%53%51%50%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 5 mphNW 6 mphNW 7 mphNW 8 mph
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+400+435+450+460+430+460+460+480.0
San Francisco-550-560-650-600-550-600-550-480.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+470+450+470+475+462+425+475+480.0
San Francisco-580-600-580-650-625-550-580-480.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+10½-110+10½-108+10½-110+10½-114+10½-110+10½-114+10½-108+10½-104
San Francisco-10½-110-10½-108-10½-110-10½-106-10½-110-10½-106-10½-106-10½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+10½-110+10½-110+11-110+10½-110+10½-110+10½-108+11-110+10½-104
San Francisco-10½-110-10½-110-11-110-10½-110-10½-110-10½-108-10½-108-10½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
San Francisco: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 10.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 20.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +10-110 to +10-115
San Francisco Spread moved from -10-105 to -10½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
San Francisco: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 10.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 20.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +10½-110 to +10-110
San Francisco Spread moved from -10½-108 to -11-108

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40½-110o41½-108o40½-110o42-115o42-110o42-115o40½-110o42-104
Underu40½-110u41½-108u40½-110u42-105u42-110u42-105u42-105u42+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40-110o41½-110o42-110o42-110o41½-110o42-110o41½-110o42-104
Underu40-110u41½-110u42-110u42-110u41½-110u42-110u42-110u42+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o39½-110 to o40½-110
The Under moved from u40½-110 to u39-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o42-110
The Under moved from u42-110 to u41½-110