Colts at Bills

Updated
38.9%
Projected Points: 21.8
Final Score: 24

Philip Rivers

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.016261.02411
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 14-28 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Gardner Minshew II • IND: Philip Rivers-1200
L 24-28 at Pittsburgh SteelersIND: Philip Rivers • PIT: Ben Roethlisberger+100
W 20-27 vs Houston TexansHOU: Deshaun Watson • IND: Philip Rivers-360
W 44-27 at Las Vegas RaidersIND: Philip Rivers • VEG: Derek Carr-140
W 26-20 at Houston TexansIND: Philip Rivers • HOU: Deshaun Watson-170

Injuries

Status
  • TAnthony CastonzoOut for Season
  • DTDeForest BucknerProbable
  • CBRock Ya-SinOut
  • GWill HoldenOut
  • SKhari WillisProbable
61.1%
Projected Points: 25.1
Final Score: 27

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.216284.03710
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 26-56 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen+160
W 38-9 at New England PatriotsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Cam Newton-335
W 48-19 at Denver BroncosBUF: Josh Allen • DEN: Drew Lock-250
W 15-26 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • BUF: Josh Allen-130
W 34-24 vs San Francisco 49ersBUF: Josh Allen • SF: Nick Mullens+110

Injuries

Status
  • FBReggie GilliamProbable
  • WRStefon DiggsProbable
  • WRCole BeasleyProbable
  • TETyler KroftOut
NW 6 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)31°33°33°33°
Humidity76%73%70%71%
Precipitation0%8%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNW 6 mphWNW 7 mphWNW 7 mphWNW 7 mph
Brad Allen
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Colts+255+275+265+285+275+285+285
Bills-310-340-330-355-345-355-330
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Colts+250+260+288+285+280+290+290
Bills-330-320-340-345-360-350-320

Spread Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Colts+6½-112+6½-109+7-125+6½-108+7-119+6½-108+7-119
Bills-6½-108-6½-111-7+105-6½-112-7+101-6½-112-7+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Colts+6½-110+7-110+7-120+7-120+7-110+6½+100+7-110
Bills-6½-110-7-110-7+100-7+100-7-110-6½-120-7+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Colts: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bills: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Colts: 50.0%
Bills: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Colts: 0.0%
Bills: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Colts: 0.0%
Bills: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Colts Spread moved from +7-114 to +6½-109
Bills Spread moved from -6½-105 to -6½-111

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Colts: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bills: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Colts: 50.0%
Bills: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Colts: 0.0%
Bills: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Colts: 20.0%
Bills: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Colts Spread moved from +6½+100 to +7-120
Bills Spread moved from -7+100 to -7-110

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo51½-110o51-118o50½-110o50½-112o50½-109o50½-112o50½-109
Underu51½-110u51-102u50½-110u50½-108u50½-109u50½-108u51-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo52-110o51-110o50½-110o50½-110o50½-110o50½-110o50½-110
Underu52-110u51-110u50½-110u50½-110u50½-110u50½-110u51-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o51-104 to o51-125
The Under moved from u51+104 to u51-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o50½-110 to o51-110
The Under moved from u51-110 to u50½-110