Pittsburgh at Atlanta

Updated

Pittsburgh Steelers

(10-8)
Rank15
P/G17.8
PA/G19.7
46.6%53.4%
Pittsburgh WinAtlanta Win
20.8Projected Points 22.3
19Final Score 16

Atlanta Falcons

(7-10)
Rank26
P/G18.9
PA/G21.9
Rank15
P/G17.8
PA/G19.7
Rank26
P/G18.9
PA/G21.9

Quarterbacks

Kenny Pickett

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.07200.038

Marcus Mariota

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.012170.0148

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Steelers
Money Line
W 24-17 at Indianapolis ColtsPIT: Kenny Pickett • IND: Matt Ryan+125
L 37-30 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • PIT: Kenny Pickett+170
W 10-20 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Andy Dalton • PIT: Kenny Pickett-115
L 13-35 at Philadelphia EaglesPIT: Kenny Pickett • PHI: Jalen Hurts+435
L 10-16 at Miami DolphinsPIT: Kenny Pickett • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+261
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
L 13-19 at Washington CommandersATL: Marcus Mariota • WAS: Taylor Heinicke+178
W 24-27 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • ATL: Marcus Mariota-130
L 15-25 at Carolina PanthersATL: Marcus Mariota • CAR: P.J. Walker-135
L 20-17 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • ATL: Marcus Mariota+125
W 34-37 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Baker Mayfield • ATL: Marcus Mariota-200

Injuries

Pittsburgh Steelers

Status
  • LBRobert SpillaneProbable
  • CBAhkello WitherspoonOut
  • CBWilliam Jackson IIIIR
  • RBBenny Snell Jr.Probable
  • LBT.J. WattProbable
  • RBJaylen WarrenProbable
  • KChris BoswellIR
  • RBNajee HarrisProbable

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • DTJalen DaltonOut
  • DEArnold EbiketieOut
  • DLTa'quon GrahamOut
  • TElijah WilkinsonIR
  • CMatt HennessyIR
  • TEKyle PittsOut for Season
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Ron Torbert
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh-102-120-130-120-123-120-120-112.0
Atlanta-118+100+110+100+103+100+110+112.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+105-125-128-120-115-125-115-112.0
Atlanta-125+105+110+100-105+105+110+112.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+0-110-1½-108-1-115-1-111+0-123-1-111-1-111+0-112
Atlanta+0-110+1½-108+1-105+1-109+0+103+1-109+1½-108+0+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+1-110-1-110-1½-110-1-110-1-110-1½-110-1-110+0-112
Atlanta-1-110+1-110+1½-110+1-110+1-110+1½-110+1½-110+0+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Atlanta: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pittsburgh: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh Spread moved from +0-110 to +0-123
Atlanta Spread moved from +1½-110 to +1-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Atlanta: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pittsburgh: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh Spread moved from +0-110 to -2-110
Atlanta Spread moved from +1-110 to +0-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42-110o43-108o43½-110o43-110o42½-110o43-110o42½-110o42½+100
Underu42-110u43-108u43½-110u43-110u42½-110u43-110u43½-110u42½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½+100
Underu41½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43-110 to o43-115
The Under moved from u43-108 to u42½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42-110 to o43-110
The Under moved from u43-110 to u42-110
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