Kansas City at Denver

Updated
Rank20
P/G21.3
PA/G19.3
59.7%40.3%
Kansas City WinDenver Win
23.9Projected Points 20.7
19Final Score 22
Rank5
P/G23.2
PA/G18.5
Rank20
P/G21.3
PA/G19.3
Rank5
P/G23.2
PA/G18.5

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.69261.0175

Bo Nix

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
60.910213.0188

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
L 21-28 at Buffalo BillsKC: Patrick Mahomes • BUF: Josh Allen-130
W 7-28 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Marcus Mariota • KC: Patrick Mahomes-500
W 0-31 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Geno Smith • KC: Patrick Mahomes-750
W 17-30 vs Detroit LionsDET: Jared Goff • KC: Patrick Mahomes-145
L 28-31 at Jacksonville JaguarsKC: Patrick Mahomes • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-185
Denver Broncos
Money Line
W 7-10 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Geno Smith • DEN: Bo Nix-400
W 18-15 at Houston TexansDEN: Bo Nix • HOU: C.J. Stroud+120
W 24-44 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • DEN: Bo Nix-190
W 32-33 vs New York GiantsNYG: Jaxson Dart • DEN: Bo Nix-420
W 13-11 vs New York JetsDEN: Bo Nix • NYJ: Justin Fields-325

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • DBJaden HicksProbable
  • TJawaan TaylorProbable
  • OLTrey SmithProbable
  • DEJanarius RobinsonOut for Season
  • DTOmarr Norman-LottOut for Season
  • DEGeorge KarlaftisProbable
  • DECharles OmenihuProbable
  • RBIsiah PachecoOut
  • WRXavier WorthyProbable
  • TJosh SimmonsProbable

Denver Broncos

Status
  • WRTrent SherfieldProbable
  • LBKarene ReidIR
  • LBJonah EllissOut
  • LBAlex SingletonOut
  • TENate AdkinsOut
  • DEJohn Franklin-MyersProbable
  • WRMarvin Mims Jr.Probable
  • LBGarret WallowProbable
  • CBPat Surtain IIOut
  • RBJ.K. DobbinsIR
E 7 mph
Mile High Stadium, Denver, CO
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)70°70°67°62°
Humidity22%22%24%29%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindE 7 mphE 7 mphE 6 mphENE 5 mph
Adrian Hill
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-200--210-210-210-210-210-189.7
Denver+174-+175+180+175+180+180+189.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-195-210-210-240-235-210-210-189.7
Denver+170+180+180+190+195+180+195+189.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-2½-120-3½-108-3½-115-4-110-4-105-4-110-3½-108-4+100
Denver+2½+100+3½-108+3½-105+4-110+4-115+4-110+3½-105+4+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-3½-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-108-4-108-4+100
Denver+3½-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-108+4-108+4+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -4½-105 to -4-115
Denver Spread moved from +3½+125 to +3½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -3½-105 to -4-110
Denver Spread moved from +4+100 to +4½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o44-108o45½-105o45½-110o45½-110o45½-110o44-108o45½+100
Underu45½-110u44-108u45½-115u45½-110u45½-110u45½-110u45-105u45½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44½-110o45-110o45½-110o45½-110o45-110o45½-110o45½-110o45½+100
Underu44½-110u45-110u45½-110u45½-110u45-110u45½-110u45½-110u45½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45-110 to o46-105
The Under moved from u45½-110 to u45½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45-110 to o46-110
The Under moved from u46-110 to u45½-110