New England at Miami

Updated
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G23.6
18.1%81.9%
WinMiami Win
14.8Projected Points 27.3
15Final Score 34
Rank20
P/G19.3
PA/G22.2
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G23.6
Rank20
P/G19.3
PA/G22.2

Quarterbacks

Drake Maye

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.86177.096

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
73.46240.094

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
L 28-22 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Matthew Stafford • NE: Drake Maye+184
W 19-3 at Chicago BearsNE: Drake Maye • CHI: Caleb Williams+250
L 17-20 at Tennessee TitansNE: Drake Maye • TEN: Mason Rudolph+165
W 22-25 vs New York JetsNYJ: Aaron Rodgers • NE: Drake Maye+312
L 16-32 vs Jacksonville JaguarsNE: Drake Maye • JAX: Trevor Lawrence+288
Miami Dolphins
Money Line
W 19-34 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Gardner Minshew II • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-390
W 23-15 at Los Angeles RamsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • LAR: Matthew Stafford+120
L 27-30 at Buffalo BillsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen+232
L 28-27 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: Kyler Murray • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-210
L 10-16 at Indianapolis ColtsMIA: Tyler Huntley • IND: Anthony Richardson+135

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • LBSione TakitakiProbable
  • DLJaquelin RoyOut
  • LBMarte MapuProbable
  • TVederian LoweProbable
  • DTChristian BarmoreProbable
  • DEKeion WhiteProbable
  • GCole StrangeProbable
  • DLDeatrich Wise Jr.Out
  • DBKyle DuggerProbable
  • LBAnfernee JenningsProbable
  • CBChristian GonzalezProbable
  • LBCurtis JacobsProbable

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • TTerron ArmsteadProbable
  • SPatrick McMorrisProbable
  • CBKendall FullerOut
  • QBTyler HuntleyIR
  • TIsaiah WynnProbable
  • FBAlec IngoldProbable
ENE 6 mph
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°78°77°76°
Humidity54%54%54%56%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindENE 6 mphE 7 mphE 7 mphE 7 mph
Alan Eck
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+285+310+300+320+300+320+320+336.0
Miami-370-390-400-400-380-400-380-336.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+312+330+330+295+315+310+330+336.0
Miami-370-400-390-370-380-370-370-336.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+7½-105+7½-108+7½-115+7½-115+7½-115+7½-115+7½-108+7½-104
Miami-7½-115-7½-108-7½-105-7½-105-7½-105-7½-105-7½-105-7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+7½-110+7½-110+7½-105+7+100+7½-115+7½-108+7½-105+7½-104
Miami-7½-110-7½-110-7½-115-7-120-7½-105-7½-108-7-120-7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On New England Spread
Miami Spread moved from -7-113 to -7½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On New England Spread
Miami Spread moved from -7-120 to -7½-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44½-110o45½-108o45-105o45½-105o45½-110o45½-105o45-105o45½+104
Underu44½-110u45½-108u45-115u45½-115u45½-110u45½-115u45½-108u45½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44½-110o46-110o45½-110o46-110o46-110o45½-110o45½-110o45½+104
Underu44½-110u46-110u45½-110u46-110u46-110u45½-110u46-110u45½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45-110 to o45½-115
The Under moved from u45-110 to u45-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45-110 to o46-110
The Under moved from u46-110 to u45½-110