Broncos at Patriots

Updated
23.6%
Projected Points: 15.7
Final Score: 18

Drew Lock

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
60.52118.010
Last 4 Games
Money Line
W 37-28 at New York JetsDEN: Brett Rypien • NYJ: Sam Darnold+100
L 28-10 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Tom Brady • DEN: Jeff Driskel+230
L 21-26 at Pittsburgh SteelersDEN: Drew Lock • PIT: Ben Roethlisberger+250
L 16-14 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • DEN: Drew Lock+160

Injuries

Status
  • RBMelvin Gordon IIIOut
  • TElijah WilkinsonUnknown
  • LBJeremiah AttaochuOut
  • DEDre'Mont JonesUnknown
  • DLMike PurcellProbable
  • DLJurrell CaseyOut for Season
  • RBPhillip LindsayProbable
  • DEDeMarcus WalkerUnknown
  • CBDavontae HarrisProbable
  • WRKJ HamlerOut
  • LBJoe JonesProbable
  • QBDrew LockProbable
  • TENoah FantOut
  • LBMark BarronUnknown
  • WRCourtland SuttonUnknown
  • LBAustin CalitroUnknown
  • RBLeVante BellamyUnknown
76.4%
Projected Points: 24.0
Final Score: 12

Cam Newton

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.13238.022
Last 4 Games
Money Line
L 10-26 at Kansas City ChiefsNE: Brian Hoyer • KC: Patrick Mahomes+525
W 20-36 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Derek Carr • NE: Cam Newton-300
L 30-35 at Seattle SeahawksNE: Cam Newton • SEA: Russell Wilson+195
W 11-21 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Ryan Fitzpatrick • NE: Cam Newton-335

Injuries

Status
  • WRJulian EdelmanProbable
  • TIsaiah WynnProbable
  • LBJosh UcheUnknown
  • GShaq MasonUnknown
  • QBCam NewtonProbable
  • CDavid AndrewsUnknown
  • DLAdam ButlerProbable
  • SCody DavisUnknown
  • DEDerek RiversOut
  • CBStephon GilmoreProbable
  • RBSony MichelUnknown
SE 6 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)59°60°59°59°
Humidity48%47%50%54%
Precipitation1%0%1%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSE 6 mphSE 7 mphSE 7 mphESE 7 mph
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Broncos+290+275+300+270+275+270+300
Patriots-350-335-400-325-350-325-325
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Broncos+300+280+277+280+280+290+290
Patriots-360-340-325-340-360-350-325

Spread Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Broncos+9½-110+7½-130+7-105+7-110+7-109+7-110+7-105
Patriots-9½-110-7½+110-7-115-7-110-7-109-7-110-7½+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Broncos+9½-110+7-110+7-110+7-110+7+100+7-110+7+100
Patriots-9½-110-7-110-7-110-7-110-7-120-7-110-7-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Broncos: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Patriots: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Broncos: 0.0%
Patriots: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Broncos: 10.0%
Patriots: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Broncos: 0.0%
Patriots: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Broncos Spread moved from +7+105 to +7-110
Patriots Spread moved from -8½-104 to -9-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Broncos: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Patriots: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Broncos: 0.0%
Patriots: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Broncos: 10.0%
Patriots: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Broncos: 10.0%
Patriots: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Broncos Spread moved from +7+100 to +7-110
Patriots Spread moved from -7-110 to -7-120

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo45½-110o44-110o44-110o44-105o44-109o44-105o44-105
Underu45½-110u44-110u44-110u44-115u44-109u44-115u44-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo45½-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-110
Underu45½-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44-105 to o44-110
The Under moved from u44-110 to u44-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o45-110
The Under moved from u44½-110 to u44-110