Tampa Bay at Atlanta

Updated
Rank11
P/G25.4
PA/G22.8
44.8%55.2%
Tampa Bay WinAtlanta Win
20.9Projected Points 23.1
30Final Score 36
Rank13
P/G22.2
PA/G23.0
Rank11
P/G25.4
PA/G22.8
Rank13
P/G22.2
PA/G23.0

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.54246.082

Kirk Cousins

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.74216.044

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 16-33 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Baker Mayfield+100
L 26-7 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Bo Nix • TB: Baker Mayfield-250
W 20-16 at Detroit LionsTB: Baker Mayfield • DET: Jared Goff+320
W 20-37 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Jayden Daniels • TB: Baker Mayfield-195
L 23-31 at Detroit LionsTB: Baker Mayfield • DET: Jared Goff+245
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
W 24-26 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • ATL: Kirk Cousins-144
L 22-17 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • ATL: Kirk Cousins+155
W 22-21 at Philadelphia EaglesATL: Kirk Cousins • PHI: Jalen Hurts+215
L 18-10 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Justin Fields • ATL: Kirk Cousins-190
L 17-48 at New Orleans SaintsATL: Taylor Heinicke • NO: Derek Carr+155

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • GLuke GoedekeOut
  • WRMike EvansProbable
  • OLSilas DzansiIR
  • LBSirVocea DennisIR
  • SAntoine Winfield Jr.Out
  • WRTrey PalmerOut
  • CBBryce HallOut for Season
  • LSEvan DeckersIR
  • WRJalen McMillanOut
  • DLCalijah KanceyOut

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • LBNate LandmanIR
  • TKaleb McGaryProbable
  • LBTroy AndersenOut
  • RBBijan RobinsonProbable
  • OLDrew DalmanIR
  • RBJase McCLellanOut
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Ron Torbert
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+120+125+120+115+125+115+125+123.5
Atlanta-140-145-140-135-145-135-135-123.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-160+130+122+120+125+125+130+123.5
Atlanta+130-150-140-140-145-145-140-123.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+2½-105+2½-108+2½-105+2½-110+2½-105+2½-110+2½-105+2½+100
Atlanta-2½-115-2½-108-2½-115-2½-110-2½-115-2½-110-2½-108-2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+3-110+2½-110+2½-105+2½-110+2½-110+2½-103+2½-103+2½+100
Atlanta-3-110-2½-110-2½-115-2½-110-2½-110-2½-107-2½-107-2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +2½+102 to +2½-108
No Steam Moves On Atlanta Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +2½+105 to +2½-105
Atlanta Spread moved from -1½-105 to -2½-105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-110o44-108o44-105o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-105o44+100
Underu42½-110u44-108u44-115u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-108u44+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-110o44½-110o44-115o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44+100
Underu42½-110u44½-110u44-105u44-110u44-110u44-110u44½-110u44+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44-110 to o44-114
The Under moved from u44-106 to u44-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44-110 to o44-115
The Under moved from u44-110 to u43½-110