Tampa Bay at Atlanta

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(7-5)
Rank14
P/G23.2
PA/G25.1
54.0%46.0%
Tampa Bay WinAtlanta Win
25.5Projected Points 23.7
23Final Score 20

Atlanta Falcons

(4-8)
Rank23
P/G20.2
PA/G23.0
Rank14
P/G23.2
PA/G25.1
Rank23
P/G20.2
PA/G23.0

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
0.000.000

Michael Penix

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
0.000.000

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 23-20 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Jayden Daniels • TB: Baker Mayfield-156
W 19-27 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Spencer Rattler • TB: Baker Mayfield-1050
W 14-48 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • TB: Baker Mayfield-520
L 24-26 at Dallas CowboysTB: Baker Mayfield • DAL: Cooper Rush-220
W 40-17 at Los Angeles ChargersTB: Baker Mayfield • LAC: Justin Herbert+155
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
L 44-38 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • ATL: Michael Penix-380
L 24-30 at Washington CommandersATL: Michael Penix • WAS: Jayden Daniels+180
W 7-34 vs New York GiantsNYG: Drew Lock • ATL: Michael Penix Jr.-450
W 15-9 at Las Vegas RaidersATL: Kirk Cousins • VEG: Desmond Ridder-270
L 21-42 at Minnesota VikingsATL: Kirk Cousins • MIN: Sam Darnold+240

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • LBDavid WalkerOut for Season
  • SChristian IzienOut
  • CBBenjamin MorrisonOut
  • RBSean TuckerProbable
  • TTristan WirfsOut
  • LBHaason ReddickProbable
  • WRJalen McMillanIR
  • RBJosh WilliamsOut
  • TECade OttonProbable
  • CBKindle VildorOut
  • TEDevin CulpOut
  • SJ.J RobertsOut for Season
  • DTVita VeaProbable
  • WRJaden SmithOut for Season
  • WRChris GodwinOut

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • -Storm NortonIR
  • DLTa'quon GrahamIR
  • WRDarnell MooneyOut
  • -Jack NelsonOut
  • CBClark Phillips IIIOut
  • RBNathan CarterOut
  • -Tyrone Wheatley Jr.Out for Season
  • LBJosh WoodsOut
  • LBMalik VerdonIR
  • LBBralen TriceIR
  • SDeMarcco HellamsOut
  • SGrayland ArnoldOut for Season
  • LBTroy AndersenIR
  • DTSam RobertsOut
  • QBEmory JonesOut for Season
  • TKaleb McGaryOut for Season
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Land Clark
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-125--110-103--103-103+106.3
Atlanta+105--110-117--117-110-106.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-120---115-110-108-108+106.3
Atlanta+100---105-110-108-105-106.3

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+2-110+0-108+1-120+1-113+0-110+1-113+1-113+1-103
Atlanta-2-110+0-108-1+100-1-107+0-110-1-107-1+100-1+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+0-110+0-110+0-110-1-110+0-110+0-108+0-108+1-103
Atlanta+0-110+0-110+0-110+1-110+0-110+0-108+1-110-1+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +1-120 to -1-115
Atlanta Spread moved from +1-105 to +1-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +0-110 to -1½-110
Atlanta Spread moved from +1-110 to +0-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48½-115o47½-108o47-120o47½-113o47½-105o47½-113o47½-105o47½-103
Underu48½-105u47½-108u47+100u47½-107u47½-115u47½-107u47+100u47½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49½-110o47½-110o47½-110o48-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-103
Underu49½-110u47½-110u47½-110u48-110u47½-110u47½-110u48-110u47½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47-115 to o47-120
The Under moved from u47½-110 to u47½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-110 to o48-110
The Under moved from u48-110 to u47½-110
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