New England at Houston

Updated
Rank5
P/G28.0
PA/G15.8
82.8%17.2%
New England WinWin
26.9Projected Points 13.5
25Final Score 22
Rank31
P/G14.9
PA/G26.6
Rank5
P/G28.0
PA/G15.8
Rank31
P/G14.9
PA/G26.6

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.04253.044

Davis Mills

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
56.72119.025

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
L 19-17 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Tom Brady • NE: Mac Jones+260
L 28-13 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Jameis Winston • NE: Mac Jones-145
W 25-6 at New York JetsNE: Mac Jones • NYJ: Zach Wilson-233
L 17-16 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NE: Mac Jones-185
W 14-28 vs New York JetsNYJ: Sam Darnold • NE: Cam Newton-160
Houston Texans
Money Line
L 0-40 at Buffalo BillsHOU: Davis Mills • BUF: Josh Allen+1200
L 24-9 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Sam Darnold • HOU: Davis Mills+348
L 21-31 at Cleveland BrownsHOU: Tyrod Taylor • CLE: Baker Mayfield+600
W 21-37 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • HOU: Tyrod Taylor+152
L 41-38 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • HOU: Deshaun Watson+300

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • LBJamie CollinsProbable
  • CBJonathan JonesProbable
  • CBJalen MillsOut
  • WRMalcolm PerryIR
  • SKyle DuggerProbable
  • LBRonnie PerkinsOut
  • OLMichael OnwenuOut
  • OLShaq MasonOut
  • TTrent BrownIR
  • PKQuinn NordinIR
  • CBShaun WadeOut
  • LBKyle Van NoyProbable
  • PKNick FolkProbable
  • CBStephon GilmoreUnknown
  • OLIsaiah WynnProbable
  • DEHenry AndersonOut for Season
  • DBJustin BethelProbable
  • LBJa'Whaun BentleyProbable
  • RBJames WhiteIR
  • DBCody DavisProbable

Houston Texans

Status
  • SA.J. MooreProbable
  • TEBrevin JordanOut
  • DEJonathan GreenardProbable
  • OLMarcus CannonIR
  • LBZach CunninghamProbable
  • DTRoss BlacklockProbable
  • WRNico CollinsIR
  • RBRex BurkheadOut
  • QBTyrod TaylorIR
  • DTVincent TaylorIR
  • WRDanny AmendolaOut
  • LBKevin Pierre-LouisIR
SSE 15 mph
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)86°88°87°86°
Humidity68%64%66%67%
Precipitation2%2%2%1%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindSSE 15 mphSSE 15 mphSSE 15 mphSSE 15 mph
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-380-370-395-355-370-355-355-299.6
Houston+290+290+300+285+285+285+300+299.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-500-400-361-400-380-360-360-299.6
Houston+400+330+305+320+315+300+330+299.6

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-7½-110-8-110-8-110-8-105-8-104-8-105-8-104-8+107
Houston+7½-110+8-110+8-110+8-115+8-114+8-115+8-110+8-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-9-110-7½-110-8-110-8-110-8-110-8-110-7½-110-8+107
Houston+9-110+7½-110+8-110+8-110+8-110+8-110+8-110+8-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 30.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 20.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from -8-110 to -8½-110
Houston Spread moved from +8½-110 to +8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 20.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 20.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Houston: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from -7½-110 to -8-110
Houston Spread moved from +8-110 to +7½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41½-110o39-110o39-110o39-110o39-109o39-110o39-109o39½+106
Underu41½-110u39-110u39-110u39-110u39-109u39-110u39-109u39½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo39½-110o39-110o39-110o39½-110o39-110o39½-110o39-110o39½+106
Underu39½-110u39-110u39-110u39½-110u39-110u39½-110u39½-110u39½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o39-108 to o39-110
The Under moved from u39-110 to u39-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o39-110 to o39½-110
The Under moved from u39½-110 to u39-110