Detroit at Minnesota

Updated

Detroit Lions

(9-8)
Rank10
P/G28.3
PA/G24.3
73.3%26.7%
Detroit WinMinnesota Win
26.1Projected Points 18.8
10Final Score 23

Minnesota Vikings

(9-8)
Rank18
P/G20.2
PA/G19.6
Rank10
P/G28.3
PA/G24.3
Rank18
P/G20.2
PA/G19.6

Quarterbacks

Jared Goff

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.314262.0295

J.J. McCarthy

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
56.88168.01111

Last 5 Games

Detroit Lions
Money Line
L 29-24 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Aaron Rodgers • DET: Jared Goff-400
L 34-41 at Los Angeles RamsDET: Jared Goff • LAR: Matthew Stafford+225
W 30-44 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • DET: Jared Goff-175
L 31-24 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Jordan Love • DET: Jared Goff-165
W 27-34 vs New York GiantsNYG: Jaxson Dart • DET: Jared Goff-1100
Minnesota Vikings
Money Line
W 16-13 at New York GiantsMIN: J.J. McCarthy • NYG: Jaxson Dart-145
W 34-26 at Dallas CowboysMIN: J.J. McCarthy • DAL: Dak Prescott+200
W 0-31 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Marcus Mariota • MIN: J.J. McCarthy-105
L 0-26 at Seattle SeahawksMIN: J.J. McCarthy • SEA: Sam Darnold+600
L 6-23 at Green Bay PackersMIN: J.J. McCarthy • GB: Jordan Love+245

Injuries

Detroit Lions

Status
  • OLGraham GlasgowProbable
  • CBTerrion ArnoldOut for Season
  • DEAl-Quadin MuhammadProbable
  • DBBrian BranchOut for Season
  • TEBrock WrightIR
  • CBAmik RobertsonProbable
  • DTAlim McNeillProbable
  • OLFrank RagnowOut for Season
  • TTaylor DeckerOut
  • WRAmon-Ra St. BrownProbable
  • OLGiovanni ManuOut
  • WRTom KennedyProbable
  • CBKhalil DorseyProbable
  • OLChristian MahoganyProbable
  • DLMarcus DavenportProbable
  • RBDavid MontgomeryProbable
  • DBAvonte MaddoxOut
  • CTrystan ColonOut
  • SKerby JosephIR

Minnesota Vikings

Status
  • TBrian O'NeillOut
  • CRyan KellyIR
  • TEGavin BartholomewOut
  • LBAustin KeysOut
  • TChristian DarrisawIR
  • QBMax BrosmerNamed Starter
  • LBJonathan GreenardOut for Season
  • RBJordan MasonOut
  • DLJavon HargraveProbable
  • QBJ.J. McCarthyOut
  • RBTy ChandlerProbable
  • SJosh MetellusOut for Season
  • TET.J. HockensonOut
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Shawn Smith
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Detroit-255-385-390-360-360-360-360-304.4
Minnesota+211+300+295+289+280+289+300+304.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Detroit-260-360-360-380-385-340-360-304.4
Minnesota+220+300+295+300+305+280+305+304.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Detroit-5½-115-7-110-7½-110-7-115-7½-105-7-115-7-110-7-104
Minnesota+5½-105+7-101+7½-110+7-105+7½-115+7-105+7½-110+7+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Detroit-5½-110-7½-110-7½-110-7-120-7-120-7-110-7-110-7-104
Minnesota+5½-110+7½-110+7½-110+7+100+7+100+7+100+7½-110+7+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Detroit: 0.0%
Minnesota: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Detroit: 10.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Detroit: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Detroit: 20.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Detroit Spread moved from -7-115 to -7½-110
Minnesota Spread moved from +6-110 to +5½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Detroit: 0.0%
Minnesota: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Detroit: 10.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Detroit: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Detroit: 20.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Detroit Spread moved from -7-110 to -7-120
Minnesota Spread moved from +7½-110 to +7-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46-110o45+100o45-110o45-115o45½-110o45-115o45+100o45-104
Underu46-110u45-114u45-110u45-105u45½-110u45-105u45½-110u45+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46½-110o45-110o45-110o44½-110o45-110o45-110o44½-110o45-104
Underu46½-110u45-110u45-110u44½-110u45-110u45-110u45-110u45+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45-111 to o45-115
The Under moved from u45-110 to u45-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o45-110
The Under moved from u45½-110 to u45-110
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