Valerenga at Lillestrom

Updated

Valerenga

31.0%25.5%43.5%
Valerenga WinDrawLillestrom Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.53
0Final Score 0

Lillestrom

Last 5 Games

Valerenga
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Brann-105
L 1-2 at Sarpsborg 08+205
W 1-2 vs Haugesund-115
T 2-2 at Rosenborg+235
W 0-3 vs Stromsgodset-135
Lillestrom
Money Line
W 3-1 at Rosenborg+490
W 0-3 vs Stabaek-195
L 1-5 at Viking+325
T 0-0 vs Kristiansund+110
L 1-2 at Sarpsborg 08+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valerenga+190+240+260+267+253+260+267+279.1
Lillestrom+145+100+101+103-101+101+103+108.6
Draw+230+255+245+280+265+245+280+289.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valerenga+200----+245+245+279.1
Lillestrom+125----+105+105+108.6
Draw+265----+265+265+289.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valerenga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valerenga: 20.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valerenga: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valerenga ML moved from +235 to +228
Lillestrom ML moved from +105 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valerenga: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valerenga: 20.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valerenga: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Valerenga ML
Lillestrom ML moved from +120 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-138o2½-125o2½-121o2¾+103-o2½-121o2½-121o2¾+110
Underu2½+114u2½+105u2½+101u2¾-116-u2½+101u2¾-116u2¾-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+110
Under-----u2¾-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-132 to u2½+113

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.31%
Exactly 225.01%
Exactly 414.27%
Exactly 63.26%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.12%
Exactly 321.81%
Exactly 57.47%
Exactly 71.22%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Valerenga
Exactly 033.69%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.94%
Exactly 37.23%
Exactly 41.97%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Lillestrom
Exactly 021.69%
Exactly 133.15%
Exactly 225.33%
Exactly 312.91%
Exactly 44.93%
Exactly 51.51%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.78%
Exactly 221.85%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 38.82%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valerenga
Exactly 060.43%
Exactly 130.44%
Exactly 27.67%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lillestrom
Exactly 049.28%
Exactly 134.87%
Exactly 212.34%
Exactly 32.91%
Exactly 40.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valerenga
Wins by 2+ goals10.26%
Wins by 3+ goals2.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.66%
Lillestrom
Wins by 2+ goals23.92%
Wins by 3+ goals9.55%
Wins by 4+ goals3.07%
Wins by 5+ goals0.78%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Valerenga
Lillestrom
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Valerenga
Wins by 1 goal16.66%
Wins by 2 goals7.27%
Wins by 3 goals2.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%
Lillestrom
Wins by 1 goal23.41%
Wins by 2 goals14.37%
Wins by 3 goals6.48%
Wins by 4 goals2.29%
Wins by 5 goals0.65%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.69%7.31%
1.573.58%26.42%
2.548.57%51.43%
3.526.76%73.24%
4.512.49%87.51%
5.55.02%94.98%
6.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Valerenga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.31%33.69%
1.529.65%70.35%
2.59.72%90.28%
3.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals Lillestrom Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.31%21.69%
1.545.17%54.83%
2.519.83%80.17%
3.56.93%93.07%
4.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.22%29.78%
1.534.15%65.85%
2.512.30%87.70%
3.53.48%96.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valerenga
Lillestrom
Score012345
0
7.31%
11.17%
8.53%
4.35%
1.66%
0.51%
1
7.95%
12.15%
9.29%
4.73%
1.81%
0.55%
2
4.32%
6.61%
5.05%
2.57%
0.98%
0.30%
3
1.57%
2.40%
1.83%
0.93%
0.36%
0.11%
4
0.43%
0.65%
0.50%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
Valerenga
1-07.95%
2-04.32%
2-16.61%
3-01.57%
3-12.40%
3-21.83%
4-00.43%
4-10.65%
4-20.50%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-07.31%
1-112.15%
2-25.05%
3-30.93%
Lillestrom
0-111.17%
0-28.53%
1-29.29%
0-34.35%
1-34.73%
2-32.57%
0-41.66%
1-41.81%
2-40.98%
3-40.36%
0-50.51%
1-50.55%
2-50.30%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Valerenga
Lillestrom
Score01234
0
29.78%
21.07%
7.46%
1.76%
0.31%
1
15.00%
10.61%
3.76%
0.89%
0.16%
2
3.78%
2.67%
0.95%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.63%
0.45%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Valerenga
1-015.00%
2-03.78%
2-12.67%
3-00.63%
3-10.45%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-029.78%
1-110.61%
2-20.95%
Lillestrom
0-121.07%
0-27.46%
1-23.76%
0-31.76%
1-30.89%
2-30.22%
0-40.31%
1-40.16%