Lillestrom at Valerenga

Updated

Lillestrom

10.6%15.5%73.9%
WinDrawValerenga Win
0.88Projected Goals 2.58
2Final Score 0

Valerenga

Last 5 Games

Lillestrom
Money Line
T 0-0 at Tromso
W 1-3 vs Start
W 1-0 at Molde
W 3-1 at Aalesund
L 2-5 at Bodo/Glimt+1850
Valerenga
Money Line
T 1-1 at Fredrikstad
L 1-0 vs Viking
W 2-0 at Rosenborg
W 0-1 vs Sandefjord
L 1-5 at Viking

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom+155-+155+158+158+158+158+171.7
Valerenga+130-+140+158+158+158+158+171.7
Draw+275-+255+260+260+260+260+279.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom-----+171.7
Valerenga-----+171.7
Draw-----+279.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valerenga: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Valerenga: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Valerenga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from +166 to +158
No Steam Moves On Valerenga ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-101-o3-128o3¼-101o3¼-101o3¼-101o3-128o3¼+108
Underu3¼-119-u3+108u3¼-119u3¼-119u3¼-119u3¼-119u3¼-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+108
Under-----u3¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-134 to o3¼+107
The Under moved from u3¼-122 to u2¾+118

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.2%
 
No45.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.13%
Exactly 218.79%
Exactly 418.78%
Exactly 67.51%
Exactly 81.61%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.85%
Exactly 321.69%
Exactly 513.01%
Exactly 73.72%
Exactly 90.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Lillestrom
Exactly 041.38%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 216.11%
Exactly 34.74%
Exactly 41.05%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Valerenga
Exactly 07.57%
Exactly 119.54%
Exactly 225.21%
Exactly 321.69%
Exactly 414.00%
Exactly 57.23%
Exactly 63.11%
Exactly 71.15%
Exactly 80.37%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.12%
Exactly 225.87%
Exactly 45.54%
Exactly 60.48%
 
Exactly 132.26%
Exactly 313.83%
Exactly 51.78%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lillestrom
Exactly 066.46%
Exactly 127.15%
Exactly 25.55%
Exactly 30.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valerenga
Exactly 030.27%
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 221.61%
Exactly 38.61%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lillestrom
Wins by 2+ goals3.19%
Wins by 3+ goals0.74%
Valerenga
Wins by 2+ goals52.34%
Wins by 3+ goals31.36%
Wins by 4+ goals15.95%
Wins by 5+ goals6.96%
Wins by 6+ goals2.63%
Wins by 7+ goals0.86%
Wins by 8+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Lillestrom
Valerenga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Lillestrom
Wins by 1 goal7.36%
Wins by 2 goals2.45%
Wins by 3 goals0.61%
Valerenga
Wins by 1 goal21.53%
Wins by 2 goals20.98%
Wins by 3 goals15.41%
Wins by 4 goals8.99%
Wins by 5 goals4.33%
Wins by 6 goals1.77%
Wins by 7 goals0.63%
Wins by 8 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.87%3.13%
1.586.02%13.98%
2.567.23%32.77%
3.545.55%54.45%
4.526.77%73.23%
5.513.76%86.24%
6.56.25%93.75%
7.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals Lillestrom Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.62%41.38%
1.522.11%77.89%
2.56.00%94.00%
3.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Valerenga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.43%7.57%
1.572.89%27.11%
2.547.68%52.32%
3.525.99%74.01%
4.511.99%88.01%
5.54.77%95.23%
6.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.88%20.12%
1.547.62%52.38%
2.521.76%78.24%
3.57.93%92.07%
4.52.39%97.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lillestrom
Valerenga
Score012345
0
3.13%
8.08%
10.43%
8.98%
5.79%
2.99%
1
2.76%
7.13%
9.21%
7.92%
5.11%
2.64%
2
1.22%
3.15%
4.06%
3.49%
2.25%
1.16%
3
0.36%
0.93%
1.19%
1.03%
0.66%
0.34%
Lillestrom
1-02.76%
2-01.22%
2-13.15%
3-00.36%
3-10.93%
3-21.19%
Draw
0-03.13%
1-17.13%
2-24.06%
3-31.03%
4-40.15%
Valerenga
0-18.08%
0-210.43%
1-29.21%
0-38.98%
1-37.92%
2-33.49%
0-45.79%
1-45.11%
2-42.25%
3-40.66%
0-52.99%
1-52.64%
2-51.16%
3-50.34%

Correct Score - First Half

Lillestrom
Valerenga
Score012345
0
20.12%
24.04%
14.36%
5.72%
1.71%
0.41%
1
8.22%
9.82%
5.87%
2.34%
0.70%
0.17%
2
1.68%
2.01%
1.20%
0.48%
0.14%
0.03%
3
0.23%
0.27%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Lillestrom
1-08.22%
2-01.68%
2-12.01%
3-00.23%
3-10.27%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-020.12%
1-19.82%
2-21.20%
Valerenga
0-124.04%
0-214.36%
1-25.87%
0-35.72%
1-32.34%
2-30.48%
0-41.71%
1-40.70%
2-40.14%
0-50.41%
1-50.17%