Fredrikstad at Valerenga

Updated

Fredrikstad

32.4%27.6%39.9%
Fredrikstad WinDrawValerenga Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.27
1Final Score 1

Valerenga

Last 5 Games

Fredrikstad
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Tromso
L 0-3 at Viking
T 1-1 vs Sarpsborg 08
L 2-0 vs Rosenborg
L 3-4 at Bryne
Valerenga
Money Line
W 2-0 at Stromsgodset
L 3-2 vs Molde
L 1-2 at Tromso
W 1-0 at KFUM Oslo
T 1-1 vs HamKam

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fredrikstad+240+259+250+235+252+235+259+251.3
Valerenga+109+100+105+110+102+110+110+120.2
Draw+237+252+240+265+255+265+265+282.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fredrikstad-----+251.3
Valerenga-----+120.2
Draw-----+282.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fredrikstad: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valerenga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fredrikstad: 30.0%
Valerenga: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fredrikstad: 20.0%
Valerenga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fredrikstad ML moved from +250 to +235
Valerenga ML moved from +100 to -104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-116o2½-115o2½-115o2½-116o2½-115o2½-115o2½-104
Underu2½-120u2½-104u2½-105u2½-105u2½-104u2½-105u2½-104u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.14%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 412.47%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.87%
Exactly 320.86%
Exactly 55.97%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Fredrikstad
Exactly 032.67%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.44%
Exactly 37.62%
Exactly 42.13%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Valerenga
Exactly 027.99%
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 222.69%
Exactly 39.63%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.04%
Exactly 220.26%
Exactly 42.07%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.48%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fredrikstad
Exactly 059.57%
Exactly 130.86%
Exactly 27.99%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valerenga
Exactly 055.46%
Exactly 132.69%
Exactly 29.64%
Exactly 31.89%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fredrikstad
Wins by 2+ goals12.87%
Wins by 3+ goals3.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Valerenga
Wins by 2+ goals17.75%
Wins by 3+ goals6.13%
Wins by 4+ goals1.69%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Fredrikstad
Valerenga
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fredrikstad
Wins by 1 goal19.47%
Wins by 2 goals8.97%
Wins by 3 goals3.00%
Wins by 4 goals0.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Valerenga
Wins by 1 goal22.16%
Wins by 2 goals11.62%
Wins by 3 goals4.44%
Wins by 4 goals1.32%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.86%9.14%
1.568.98%31.02%
2.542.82%57.18%
3.521.96%78.04%
4.59.49%90.51%
5.53.52%96.48%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Fredrikstad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.33%32.67%
1.530.78%69.22%
2.510.34%89.66%
3.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals Valerenga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.01%27.99%
1.536.36%63.64%
2.513.68%86.32%
3.54.05%95.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.96%33.04%
1.530.37%69.63%
2.510.11%89.89%
3.52.63%97.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fredrikstad
Valerenga
Score012345
0
9.14%
11.64%
7.41%
3.15%
1.00%
0.25%
1
10.23%
13.03%
8.29%
3.52%
1.12%
0.29%
2
5.72%
7.29%
4.64%
1.97%
0.63%
0.16%
3
2.13%
2.72%
1.73%
0.73%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.60%
0.76%
0.48%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.13%
0.17%
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Fredrikstad
1-010.23%
2-05.72%
2-17.29%
3-02.13%
3-12.72%
3-21.73%
4-00.60%
4-10.76%
4-20.48%
4-30.21%
5-00.13%
5-10.17%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-09.14%
1-113.03%
2-24.64%
3-30.73%
Valerenga
0-111.64%
0-27.41%
1-28.29%
0-33.15%
1-33.52%
2-31.97%
0-41.00%
1-41.12%
2-40.63%
3-40.23%
0-50.25%
1-50.29%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Fredrikstad
Valerenga
Score01234
0
33.04%
19.48%
5.74%
1.13%
0.17%
1
17.11%
10.09%
2.97%
0.58%
0.09%
2
4.43%
2.61%
0.77%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.77%
0.45%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Fredrikstad
1-017.11%
2-04.43%
2-12.61%
3-00.77%
3-10.45%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-033.04%
1-110.09%
2-20.77%
Valerenga
0-119.48%
0-25.74%
1-22.97%
0-31.13%
1-30.58%
2-30.15%
0-40.17%