Valerenga at Aalesund

Updated

Valerenga

43.5%25.1%31.4%
Valerenga WinDrawAalesund Win
1.53Projected Goals 1.26
2Final Score 2

Aalesund

Last 5 Games

Valerenga
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Rosenborg+100
L 0-2 at Lillestrom+315
L 2-3 at Stromsgodset+180
L 0-1 at Tromso+220
W 3-1 at Sandefjord+160
Aalesund
Money Line
T 2-2 at Haugesund+235
W 2-1 at Sarpsborg 08+265
L 2-0 vs Molde+200
L 0-2 at Lillestrom+360
W 3-2 at Odd+310

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valerenga+180+195+193+206+191+193+206+216.1
Aalesund+150+130+130+137+127+130+137+140.8
Draw+230+235+265+260+264+265+265+272.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valerenga+180----+200+200+216.1
Aalesund+145----+125+125+140.8
Draw+250----+265+265+272.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valerenga: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aalesund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valerenga: 40.0%
Aalesund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valerenga: 0.0%
Aalesund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valerenga ML moved from +205 to +195
Aalesund ML moved from +145 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valerenga: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aalesund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valerenga: 40.0%
Aalesund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valerenga: 0.0%
Aalesund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valerenga ML moved from +190 to +170
Aalesund ML moved from +140 to +125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2¾-112o2¾-113o2½-133-o2¾-113o2½-133o2½-124
Underu2½-105u2¾-108u2¾-107u2½+118-u2¾-107u2¾-107u2½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-124
Under-----u2½+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.2%
 
No43.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.12%
Exactly 223.89%
Exactly 415.53%
Exactly 64.04%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.11%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 58.67%
Exactly 71.61%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Valerenga
Exactly 021.64%
Exactly 133.12%
Exactly 225.35%
Exactly 312.93%
Exactly 44.95%
Exactly 51.51%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Aalesund
Exactly 028.30%
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 222.55%
Exactly 39.49%
Exactly 42.99%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.44%
Exactly 222.94%
Exactly 43.20%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.49%
Exactly 39.89%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valerenga
Exactly 049.23%
Exactly 134.89%
Exactly 212.36%
Exactly 32.92%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aalesund
Exactly 055.74%
Exactly 132.58%
Exactly 29.52%
Exactly 31.85%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valerenga
Wins by 2+ goals21.57%
Wins by 3+ goals8.51%
Wins by 4+ goals2.70%
Wins by 5+ goals0.68%
Aalesund
Wins by 2+ goals13.33%
Wins by 3+ goals4.45%
Wins by 4+ goals1.19%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Valerenga
Aalesund
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Valerenga
Wins by 1 goal21.86%
Wins by 2 goals13.06%
Wins by 3 goals5.81%
Wins by 4 goals2.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.57%
Aalesund
Wins by 1 goal18.03%
Wins by 2 goals8.89%
Wins by 3 goals3.26%
Wins by 4 goals0.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.88%6.12%
1.576.77%23.23%
2.552.88%47.12%
3.530.65%69.35%
4.515.12%84.88%
5.56.45%93.55%
6.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals Valerenga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.36%21.64%
1.545.23%54.77%
2.519.88%80.12%
3.56.95%93.05%
4.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Aalesund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.70%28.30%
1.535.98%64.02%
2.513.43%86.57%
3.53.94%96.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.56%27.44%
1.537.07%62.93%
2.514.13%85.87%
3.54.24%95.76%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valerenga
Aalesund
Score012345
0
6.12%
7.73%
4.88%
2.05%
0.65%
0.16%
1
9.37%
11.83%
7.47%
3.14%
0.99%
0.25%
2
7.17%
9.06%
5.72%
2.41%
0.76%
0.19%
3
3.66%
4.62%
2.92%
1.23%
0.39%
0.10%
4
1.40%
1.77%
1.12%
0.47%
0.15%
0.04%
5
0.43%
0.54%
0.34%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
Valerenga
1-09.37%
2-07.17%
2-19.06%
3-03.66%
3-14.62%
3-22.92%
4-01.40%
4-11.77%
4-21.12%
4-30.47%
5-00.43%
5-10.54%
5-20.34%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.12%
1-111.83%
2-25.72%
3-31.23%
4-40.15%
Aalesund
0-17.73%
0-24.88%
1-27.47%
0-32.05%
1-33.14%
2-32.41%
0-40.65%
1-40.99%
2-40.76%
3-40.39%
0-50.16%
1-50.25%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Valerenga
Aalesund
Score01234
0
27.44%
16.04%
4.69%
0.91%
0.13%
1
19.45%
11.37%
3.32%
0.65%
0.09%
2
6.89%
4.03%
1.18%
0.23%
0.03%
3
1.63%
0.95%
0.28%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.29%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Valerenga
1-019.45%
2-06.89%
2-14.03%
3-01.63%
3-10.95%
3-20.28%
4-00.29%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-027.44%
1-111.37%
2-21.18%
Aalesund
0-116.04%
0-24.69%
1-23.32%
0-30.91%
1-30.65%
2-30.23%
0-40.13%