Lillestrom at Molde

Updated

Lillestrom

16.2%18.4%65.5%
WinDrawMolde Win
1.10Projected Goals 2.36
0Final Score 4

Molde

Last 5 Games

Lillestrom
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Haugesund-125
L 1-3 at Bodo/Glimt+825
W 0-2 vs Valerenga+115
L 0-1 at Stabaek+195
L 2-0 vs Brann+160
Molde
Money Line
L 1-3 at Rosenborg-120
L 4-1 vs Tromso-160
L 2-3 at Brann+180
L 3-1 vs Bodo/Glimt+105
W 0-4 vs Viking-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom+475+392+380+385+385+385+392+409.4
Molde-215-153-165-162-162-162-153-143.2
Draw+360+332+330+343+343+343+343+365.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom+485----+365+365+409.4
Molde-200-----160-160-143.2
Draw+365----+350+350+365.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Molde: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Molde: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Molde: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from +377 to +368
Molde ML moved from -265 to -275

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Molde: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Molde: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Molde: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from +420 to +365
Molde ML moved from -200 to -290

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-105o3-108o3¼-102o3-108o3-108o3-108o3-108o3+102
Underu3¼-115u3-108u3¼-118u3-112u3-112u3-112u3¼-118u3-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+102
Under-----u3-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes60.3%
 
No39.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.15%
Exactly 218.82%
Exactly 418.77%
Exactly 67.48%
Exactly 81.60%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.88%
Exactly 321.70%
Exactly 512.98%
Exactly 73.70%
Exactly 90.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Lillestrom
Exactly 033.38%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 42.02%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Molde
Exactly 09.42%
Exactly 122.26%
Exactly 226.29%
Exactly 320.70%
Exactly 412.22%
Exactly 55.77%
Exactly 62.27%
Exactly 70.77%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.16%
Exactly 225.85%
Exactly 45.53%
Exactly 60.47%
 
Exactly 132.28%
Exactly 313.80%
Exactly 51.77%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lillestrom
Exactly 060.17%
Exactly 130.57%
Exactly 27.76%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Molde
Exactly 033.50%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.03%
Exactly 37.30%
Exactly 42.00%
Exactly 50.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lillestrom
Wins by 2+ goals5.74%
Wins by 3+ goals1.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Molde
Wins by 2+ goals43.15%
Wins by 3+ goals23.87%
Wins by 4+ goals11.14%
Wins by 5+ goals4.43%
Wins by 6+ goals1.50%
Wins by 7+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Lillestrom
Molde
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Lillestrom
Wins by 1 goal10.33%
Wins by 2 goals4.15%
Wins by 3 goals1.26%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Molde
Wins by 1 goal22.24%
Wins by 2 goals19.28%
Wins by 3 goals12.73%
Wins by 4 goals6.71%
Wins by 5 goals2.93%
Wins by 6 goals1.08%
Wins by 7 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.85%3.15%
1.585.97%14.03%
2.567.15%32.85%
3.545.45%54.55%
4.526.69%73.31%
5.513.70%86.30%
6.56.22%93.78%
7.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Lillestrom Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.62%33.38%
1.529.99%70.01%
2.59.90%90.10%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Molde Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.58%9.42%
1.568.32%31.68%
2.542.03%57.97%
3.521.34%78.66%
4.59.12%90.88%
5.53.34%96.66%
6.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.84%20.16%
1.547.56%52.44%
2.521.70%78.30%
3.57.90%92.10%
4.52.38%97.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lillestrom
Molde
Score0123456
0
3.15%
7.43%
8.77%
6.91%
4.08%
1.93%
0.76%
1
3.45%
8.15%
9.63%
7.58%
4.48%
2.11%
0.83%
2
1.89%
4.47%
5.28%
4.16%
2.46%
1.16%
0.46%
3
0.69%
1.64%
1.93%
1.52%
0.90%
0.42%
0.17%
4
0.19%
0.45%
0.53%
0.42%
0.25%
0.12%
0.05%
Lillestrom
1-03.45%
2-01.89%
2-14.47%
3-00.69%
3-11.64%
3-21.93%
4-00.19%
4-10.45%
4-20.53%
4-30.42%
Draw
0-03.15%
1-18.15%
2-25.28%
3-31.52%
4-40.25%
Molde
0-17.43%
0-28.77%
1-29.63%
0-36.91%
1-37.58%
2-34.16%
0-44.08%
1-44.48%
2-42.46%
3-40.90%
0-51.93%
1-52.11%
2-51.16%
3-50.42%
4-50.12%
0-60.76%
1-60.83%
2-60.46%
3-60.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Lillestrom
Molde
Score012345
0
20.16%
22.04%
12.05%
4.39%
1.20%
0.26%
1
10.24%
11.20%
6.12%
2.23%
0.61%
0.13%
2
2.60%
2.84%
1.56%
0.57%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.44%
0.48%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Lillestrom
1-010.24%
2-02.60%
2-12.84%
3-00.44%
3-10.48%
3-20.26%
Draw
0-020.16%
1-111.20%
2-21.56%
Molde
0-122.04%
0-212.05%
1-26.12%
0-34.39%
1-32.23%
2-30.57%
0-41.20%
1-40.61%
2-40.15%
0-50.26%
1-50.13%