Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sporting CP
Braga 		49.3%
25.2%		25.5%
+100
+280
+105
+265
1.54
1.03		2.57
o2½-109
u2½-108

Casa Pia AC
Estoril 		17.4%
59.6%		22.9%
+355
-132
+355
-135
0.84
1.79		2.63
o2½-120
u2½+102

Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Braga
Vitoria		37.9%
33.9%		28.2%
+121
+234
+120
+205
3
2		-0.82223-0.83637-0.97072
Sporting CP
Estoril		73.0%
9.7%		17.4%
-264
+686
-270
+670
1
0		-0.35820-0.36394-0.31523
Estrela
FC Vizela		31.5%
39.5%		28.9%
+108
+255
+105
+250
0
4		-1.30346-1.30280-0.92811
Rio Ave
Portimonense		40.8%
28.9%		30.4%
+200
+145
+205
+135
2
2		-1.26713-1.25956-1.19211
Famalicao
Chaves		32.4%
39.6%		27.9%
+149
+199
+145
+190
1
0		-0.94369-0.94631-1.12559
Benfica
Famalicao		74.6%
9.7%		15.7%
-237
+601
-260
+625
0
2		-1.98348-2.03042-2.33811
Casa Pia AC
Braga		7.9%
77.2%		14.8%
+888
-319
+850
-335
3
4		-0.30533-0.30933-0.25865
Estrela
Arouca		17.8%
57.9%		24.2%
+230
+114
+230
+110
0
0		-1.35410-1.34657-1.41762
Estoril
SC Farense		25.9%
45.7%		28.4%
+186
+175
+195
+160
2
3		-1.04683-1.00570-0.78218
Porto
Chaves		73.1%
9.7%		17.2%
-359
+978
-375
+960
3
0		-0.28305-0.28564-0.31305
Portimonense
Sporting CP		3.6%
86.2%		10.1%
+2216
-1168
+2200
-1350
0
3		-0.10526-0.12161-0.14830
Vitoria
Rio Ave		37.4%
32.6%		30.0%
+128
+242
+145
+200
1
2		-1.26397-1.15119-1.11951
Gil Vicente FC
Boavista		27.9%
44.1%		28.0%
+183
+175
+180
+165
1
1		-1.17909-1.19806-1.27172
FC Vizela
Moreirense		23.3%
50.6%		26.2%
+245
+127
+230
+125
0
1		-0.84148-0.86022-0.68211
SC Farense
Estrela		27.0%
44.7%		28.3%
+365
-110
+315
-110
3
0		-1.55723-1.47238-1.31000
Sporting CP
Porto		28.8%
43.9%		27.3%
+205
+144
+195
+140
2
2		-1.26553-1.27236-1.29924
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.97148 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.98010 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.93704
0.03444
0.04306

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).