Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 9, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Tondela 		27.1%
45.1%		27.9%
+290
+109
+285
+105
0.96
1.33		2.29
o2¼-120
u2¼+101

Games for Mar 8, 2026
Games for Mar 14, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Benfica
FC Vizela		75.2%
9.3%		15.5%
-261
+702
-300
+700
2
1		-0.35505-0.33689-0.28482
Braga
SC Farense		60.8%
16.7%		22.5%
-133
+362
-145
+355
1
3		-1.56399-1.56638-1.78880
Famalicao
Rio Ave		31.9%
39.5%		28.6%
+200
+165
+200
+150
1
1		-1.17736-1.19696-1.25068
Porto
Estrela		72.1%
10.2%		17.7%
-190
+550
-195
+525
1
0		-0.46001-0.46362-0.32748
Braga
Moreirense		54.0%
21.5%		24.4%
+102
+280
+100
+265
3
2		-0.73118-0.74360-0.61537
Sporting CP
Braga		49.8%
24.8%		25.4%
+110
+241
+110
+230
1
1		-1.36708-1.35662-1.36920
Arouca
Porto		5.4%
82.1%		12.5%
+1405
-493
+1150
-430
1
1		-2.03157-1.88942-2.08289
Boavista
Estoril		24.1%
49.2%		26.7%
+185
+156
+165
+170
2
1		-1.09533-1.02407-1.42470
Moreirense
Chaves		31.2%
39.8%		29.0%
+147
+192
+150
+185
2
1		-0.93992-0.96451-1.16587
Vitoria
Benfica		5.3%
83.0%		11.6%
+1038
-362
+1000
-400
0
4		-0.27122-0.27279-0.18575
SC Farense
Famalicao		15.3%
63.1%		21.6%
+221
+138
+275
+105
0
1		-0.90123-0.76947-0.46015
Estrela
Portimonense		25.0%
46.9%		28.1%
+182
+155
+185
+160
1
1		-1.24254-1.21002-1.27100
Rio Ave
Casa Pia AC		24.1%
48.6%		27.3%
+282
+120
+260
+115
1
1		-1.21946-1.22799-1.29744
Gil Vicente FC
FC Vizela		29.0%
43.7%		27.3%
+245
+120
+235
+125
0
1		-0.81973-0.86034-0.82869
Porto
Rio Ave		66.6%
12.8%		20.6%
-233
+720
-210
+600
2
1		-0.39540-0.43841-0.40687
Famalicao
Sporting CP		5.0%
84.2%		10.8%
+1102
-398
+1050
-425
0
1		-0.25860-0.26042-0.17163
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.14010 
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.14335 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.22166
-0.08156
-0.07830

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).