Orenburg at Nizhny Novgorod

Updated

Orenburg

21.3%25.8%52.9%
Orenburg WinDrawNizhny Novgorod Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.53
1Final Score 3

Nizhny Novgorod

Last 5 Games

Orenburg
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Rubin Kazan
T 2-2 vs Akhmat Grozny
W 2-1 at FK Akron Tolyatti
L 1-0 vs Krasnodar
L 2-3 at Baltika
Nizhny Novgorod
Money Line
L 0-2 at Zenit
L 0-3 at Dynamo Mosc
W 0-2 vs FC Dynamo Makhachkala
L 0-1 at Rostov
L 3-2 vs Loko Moscow

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orenburg+161+197-+175-+175+197+203.0
Nizhny Novgorod+173+143-+135-+135+143+158.9
Draw+254+247-+220-+220+247+252.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orenburg-----+203.0
Nizhny Novgorod-----+158.9
Draw-----+252.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orenburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nizhny Novgorod: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orenburg: 0.0%
Nizhny Novgorod: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orenburg: 0.0%
Nizhny Novgorod: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orenburg ML moved from +182 to +165
Nizhny Novgorod ML moved from +153 to +135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-119o2½+103-o2½+104-o2½+104o2½+104o2½+113
Underu2½-101u2½-123-u2½-124-u2½-124u2½-123u2½-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+113
Under-----u2½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-112 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.3%
 
No54.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.14%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 412.48%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.87%
Exactly 320.86%
Exactly 55.97%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Orenburg
Exactly 042.15%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.73%
Exactly 34.53%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Nizhny Novgorod
Exactly 021.68%
Exactly 133.15%
Exactly 225.33%
Exactly 312.91%
Exactly 44.93%
Exactly 51.51%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.03%
Exactly 220.26%
Exactly 42.07%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.48%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Orenburg
Exactly 067.03%
Exactly 126.81%
Exactly 25.36%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nizhny Novgorod
Exactly 049.28%
Exactly 134.87%
Exactly 212.34%
Exactly 32.91%
Exactly 40.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Orenburg
Wins by 2+ goals6.84%
Wins by 3+ goals1.65%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%
Nizhny Novgorod
Wins by 2+ goals27.35%
Wins by 3+ goals11.12%
Wins by 4+ goals3.63%
Wins by 5+ goals0.94%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Orenburg
Wins by 1 goal14.39%
Wins by 2 goals5.18%
Wins by 3 goals1.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Nizhny Novgorod
Wins by 1 goal25.47%
Wins by 2 goals16.23%
Wins by 3 goals7.49%
Wins by 4 goals2.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.78%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.86%9.14%
1.568.99%31.01%
2.542.83%57.17%
3.521.97%78.03%
4.59.49%90.51%
5.53.52%96.48%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Orenburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.85%42.15%
1.521.43%78.57%
2.55.70%94.30%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Nizhny Novgorod Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.32%21.68%
1.545.17%54.83%
2.519.84%80.16%
3.56.93%93.07%
4.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.97%33.03%
1.530.38%69.62%
2.510.11%89.89%
3.52.63%97.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
Score012345
0
9.14%
13.97%
10.68%
5.44%
2.08%
0.64%
1
7.90%
12.07%
9.22%
4.70%
1.80%
0.55%
2
3.41%
5.21%
3.98%
2.03%
0.78%
0.24%
3
0.98%
1.50%
1.15%
0.58%
0.22%
0.07%
4
0.21%
0.32%
0.25%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
Orenburg
1-07.90%
2-03.41%
2-15.21%
3-00.98%
3-11.50%
3-21.15%
4-00.21%
4-10.32%
4-20.25%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-09.14%
1-112.07%
2-23.98%
3-30.58%
Nizhny Novgorod
0-113.97%
0-210.68%
1-29.22%
0-35.44%
1-34.70%
2-32.03%
0-42.08%
1-41.80%
2-40.78%
3-40.22%
0-50.64%
1-50.55%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
Score01234
0
33.03%
23.38%
8.27%
1.95%
0.35%
1
13.21%
9.35%
3.31%
0.78%
0.14%
2
2.64%
1.87%
0.66%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.35%
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Orenburg
1-013.21%
2-02.64%
2-11.87%
3-00.35%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-033.03%
1-19.35%
2-20.66%
Nizhny Novgorod
0-123.38%
0-28.27%
1-23.31%
0-31.95%
1-30.78%
2-30.16%
0-40.35%
1-40.14%