Sochi at Nizhny Novgorod

Updated

Sochi

36.5%29.4%34.1%
Sochi WinDrawNizhny Novgorod Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 2

Nizhny Novgorod

Last 5 Games

Sochi
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Loko Moscow
T 0-0 vs FC Dynamo Makhachkala
L 2-3 at FK Akron Tolyatti
L 1-0 vs Rostov
L 1-3 at Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
Money Line
L 1-2 at Loko Moscow
W 1-0 at FC Dynamo Makhachkala
W 2-1 at FK Akron Tolyatti
L 2-0 vs Zenit
T 0-0 vs Rubin Kazan

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sochi+211--+213-+213+213+233.3
Nizhny Novgorod+138--+132-+132+132+147.1
Draw+215--+218-+218+218+238.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sochi-----+233.3
Nizhny Novgorod-----+147.1
Draw-----+238.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sochi: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nizhny Novgorod: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sochi: 30.0%
Nizhny Novgorod: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sochi: 0.0%
Nizhny Novgorod: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sochi ML moved from +208 to +201
Nizhny Novgorod ML moved from +146 to +137

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-101--o2¼+100-o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+109
Underu2¼-119--u2¼-120-u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.7%
 
No56.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.49%
Exactly 226.90%
Exactly 410.49%
Exactly 61.64%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.86%
Exactly 319.40%
Exactly 54.54%
Exactly 70.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Sochi
Exactly 033.10%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.23%
Exactly 37.46%
Exactly 42.06%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Nizhny Novgorod
Exactly 034.71%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.43%
Exactly 36.85%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.72%
Exactly 218.43%
Exactly 41.54%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.15%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sochi
Exactly 059.94%
Exactly 130.68%
Exactly 27.85%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nizhny Novgorod
Exactly 061.27%
Exactly 130.02%
Exactly 27.35%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sochi
Wins by 2+ goals14.67%
Wins by 3+ goals4.47%
Wins by 4+ goals1.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Nizhny Novgorod
Wins by 2+ goals13.21%
Wins by 3+ goals3.88%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sochi
Wins by 1 goal21.73%
Wins by 2 goals10.19%
Wins by 3 goals3.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Nizhny Novgorod
Wins by 1 goal20.80%
Wins by 2 goals9.34%
Wins by 3 goals3.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.51%11.49%
1.563.65%36.35%
2.536.75%63.25%
3.517.36%82.64%
4.56.86%93.14%
5.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals Sochi Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.90%33.10%
1.530.30%69.70%
2.510.07%89.93%
3.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals Nizhny Novgorod Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.29%34.71%
1.528.56%71.44%
2.59.13%90.87%
3.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.28%36.72%
1.526.49%73.51%
2.58.06%91.94%
3.51.91%98.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
Score012345
0
11.49%
12.16%
6.43%
2.27%
0.60%
0.13%
1
12.70%
13.44%
7.11%
2.51%
0.66%
0.14%
2
7.02%
7.43%
3.93%
1.39%
0.37%
0.08%
3
2.59%
2.74%
1.45%
0.51%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.72%
0.76%
0.40%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.17%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Sochi
1-012.70%
2-07.02%
2-17.43%
3-02.59%
3-12.74%
3-21.45%
4-00.72%
4-10.76%
4-20.40%
4-30.14%
5-00.16%
5-10.17%
Draw
0-011.49%
1-113.44%
2-23.93%
3-30.51%
Nizhny Novgorod
0-112.16%
0-26.43%
1-27.11%
0-32.27%
1-32.51%
2-31.39%
0-40.60%
1-40.66%
2-40.37%
3-40.14%
0-50.13%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
Score0123
0
36.72%
17.99%
4.41%
0.72%
1
18.80%
9.21%
2.26%
0.37%
2
4.81%
2.36%
0.58%
0.09%
3
0.82%
0.40%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Sochi
1-018.80%
2-04.81%
2-12.36%
3-00.82%
3-10.40%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-036.72%
1-19.21%
2-20.58%
Nizhny Novgorod
0-117.99%
0-24.41%
1-22.26%
0-30.72%
1-30.37%