Samara at Krasnodar

Updated

Samara

5.8%12.3%81.8%
WinDrawKrasnodar Win
0.61Projected Goals 2.73
0Final Score 5

Krasnodar

Last 5 Games

Samara
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Rostov
T 1-1 vs Zenit
L 0-2 at FC Dynamo Makhachkala
L 0-1 at CSKA Moscow
T 1-1 vs Orenburg
Krasnodar
Money Line
T 1-1 at Loko Moscow
T 1-1 at Baltika
W 1-2 vs Spartak Moscow
W 0-1 vs Rubin Kazan
W 2-0 at FC Dynamo Makhachkala

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
7.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara+740--+780-+730+730+796.5
Krasnodar-357---370--370-370-268.8
Draw+450--+470-+480+480+526.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara-----+796.5
Krasnodar------268.8
Draw-----+526.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Krasnodar: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Samara: 0.0%
Krasnodar: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Samara: 0.0%
Krasnodar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Samara ML moved from +800 to +730
Krasnodar ML moved from -357 to -370

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-124--o3-114-o3-114o3-114o3-104
Underu2¾+104--u3-106-u3-106u3-106u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-104
Under-----u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-120 to u2¾-107

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.5%
 
No57.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.54%
Exactly 219.75%
Exactly 418.38%
Exactly 66.84%
Exactly 81.36%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.82%
Exactly 322.00%
Exactly 512.28%
Exactly 73.27%
Exactly 90.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 054.50%
Exactly 133.08%
Exactly 210.04%
Exactly 32.03%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Krasnodar
Exactly 06.49%
Exactly 117.75%
Exactly 224.27%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 415.13%
Exactly 58.27%
Exactly 63.77%
Exactly 71.47%
Exactly 80.50%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.28%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 45.08%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.93%
Exactly 313.14%
Exactly 51.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 075.50%
Exactly 121.22%
Exactly 22.98%
Exactly 30.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Krasnodar
Exactly 028.19%
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 222.60%
Exactly 39.54%
Exactly 43.02%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Samara
Wins by 2+ goals1.29%
Wins by 3+ goals0.21%
Krasnodar
Wins by 2+ goals61.52%
Wins by 3+ goals39.27%
Wins by 4+ goals21.30%
Wins by 5+ goals9.91%
Wins by 6+ goals3.99%
Wins by 7+ goals1.39%
Wins by 8+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Samara
Krasnodar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Samara
Wins by 1 goal4.49%
Wins by 2 goals1.09%
Wins by 3 goals0.19%
Krasnodar
Wins by 1 goal20.26%
Wins by 2 goals22.25%
Wins by 3 goals17.98%
Wins by 4 goals11.39%
Wins by 5 goals5.92%
Wins by 6 goals2.60%
Wins by 7 goals0.98%
Wins by 8 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.46%3.54%
1.584.64%15.36%
2.564.89%35.11%
3.542.88%57.12%
4.524.50%75.50%
5.512.22%87.78%
6.55.38%94.62%
7.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.50%54.50%
1.512.42%87.58%
2.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Krasnodar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.51%6.49%
1.575.76%24.24%
2.551.48%48.52%
3.529.36%70.64%
4.514.23%85.77%
5.55.96%94.04%
6.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.72%21.28%
1.545.78%54.22%
2.520.31%79.69%
3.57.17%92.83%
4.52.09%97.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Samara
Krasnodar
Score012345
0
3.54%
9.68%
13.23%
12.06%
8.24%
4.51%
1
2.15%
5.87%
8.03%
7.32%
5.00%
2.74%
2
0.65%
1.78%
2.44%
2.22%
1.52%
0.83%
3
0.13%
0.36%
0.49%
0.45%
0.31%
0.17%
Samara
1-02.15%
2-00.65%
2-11.78%
3-00.13%
3-10.36%
3-20.49%
Draw
0-03.54%
1-15.87%
2-22.44%
3-30.45%
Krasnodar
0-19.68%
0-213.23%
1-28.03%
0-312.06%
1-37.32%
2-32.22%
0-48.24%
1-45.00%
2-41.52%
3-40.31%
0-54.51%
1-52.74%
2-50.83%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Samara
Krasnodar
Score0123456
0
21.28%
26.95%
17.06%
7.20%
2.28%
0.58%
0.12%
1
5.98%
7.57%
4.79%
2.02%
0.64%
0.16%
0.03%
2
0.84%
1.06%
0.67%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Samara
1-05.98%
2-00.84%
2-11.06%
Draw
0-021.28%
1-17.57%
2-20.67%
Krasnodar
0-126.95%
0-217.06%
1-24.79%
0-37.20%
1-32.02%
2-30.28%
0-42.28%
1-40.64%
0-50.58%
1-50.16%
0-60.12%