Loko Moscow at Samara

Updated

Loko Moscow

45.4%27.4%27.2%
Loko Moscow WinDrawSamara Win
1.36Projected Goals 0.98
1Final Score 5

Samara

Last 5 Games

Loko Moscow
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Dynamo Mosc
T 1-1 vs Akhmat Grozny
T 1-1 at FC Dynamo Makhachkala
T 0-0 at Krasnodar
L 3-1 vs FC Khimki
Samara
Money Line
L 0-4 at FC Dynamo Makhachkala
L 2-0 vs FK Akron Tolyatti
T 1-1 at Krasnodar
L 1-3 at Rostov
W 3-2 at Zenit

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Loko Moscow+106-103--109--109-103+109.6
Samara+256+306-+255-+255+306+288.0
Draw+262+263-+245-+245+263+277.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Loko Moscow-----+109.6
Samara-----+288.0
Draw-----+277.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Loko Moscow: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Loko Moscow: 0.0%
Samara: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Loko Moscow: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Loko Moscow: 0.0%
Samara: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Loko Moscow ML moved from +100 to -103
Samara ML moved from +308 to +298

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-115-o2½-111-o2½-111o2½-111o2½-101
Underu2½+108u2½-104-u2½-109-u2½-109u2½-104u2½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-101
Under-----u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-118 to u2½-106

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.59%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 412.07%
Exactly 62.21%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.49%
Exactly 320.59%
Exactly 55.66%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Loko Moscow
Exactly 025.69%
Exactly 134.91%
Exactly 223.73%
Exactly 310.75%
Exactly 43.65%
Exactly 50.99%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 037.35%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.11%
Exactly 35.95%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.78%
Exactly 219.89%
Exactly 41.95%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.20%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Loko Moscow
Exactly 053.30%
Exactly 133.54%
Exactly 210.55%
Exactly 32.21%
Exactly 40.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 063.38%
Exactly 128.90%
Exactly 26.59%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Loko Moscow
Wins by 2+ goals21.40%
Wins by 3+ goals7.86%
Wins by 4+ goals2.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.54%
Samara
Wins by 2+ goals9.77%
Wins by 3+ goals2.66%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Loko Moscow
Samara
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Loko Moscow
Wins by 1 goal23.95%
Wins by 2 goals13.54%
Wins by 3 goals5.55%
Wins by 4 goals1.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%
Samara
Wins by 1 goal17.35%
Wins by 2 goals7.11%
Wins by 3 goals2.11%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.41%9.59%
1.567.92%32.08%
2.541.56%58.44%
3.520.96%79.04%
4.58.90%91.10%
5.53.24%96.76%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Loko Moscow Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.31%25.69%
1.539.40%60.60%
2.515.67%84.33%
3.54.92%95.08%
4.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.65%37.35%
1.525.87%74.13%
2.57.75%92.25%
3.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.22%33.78%
1.529.56%70.44%
2.59.66%90.34%
3.52.47%97.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Loko Moscow
Samara
Score01234
0
9.59%
9.45%
4.65%
1.53%
0.38%
1
13.04%
12.84%
6.32%
2.08%
0.51%
2
8.86%
8.73%
4.30%
1.41%
0.35%
3
4.01%
3.95%
1.95%
0.64%
0.16%
4
1.36%
1.34%
0.66%
0.22%
0.05%
5
0.37%
0.37%
0.18%
0.06%
0.01%
Loko Moscow
1-013.04%
2-08.86%
2-18.73%
3-04.01%
3-13.95%
3-21.95%
4-01.36%
4-11.34%
4-20.66%
4-30.22%
5-00.37%
5-10.37%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-09.59%
1-112.84%
2-24.30%
3-30.64%
Samara
0-19.45%
0-24.65%
1-26.32%
0-31.53%
1-32.08%
2-31.41%
0-40.38%
1-40.51%
2-40.35%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Loko Moscow
Samara
Score0123
0
33.78%
15.40%
3.51%
0.53%
1
21.26%
9.69%
2.21%
0.34%
2
6.69%
3.05%
0.70%
0.11%
3
1.40%
0.64%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.22%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Loko Moscow
1-021.26%
2-06.69%
2-13.05%
3-01.40%
3-10.64%
3-20.15%
4-00.22%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-033.78%
1-19.69%
2-20.70%
Samara
0-115.40%
0-23.51%
1-22.21%
0-30.53%
1-30.34%
2-30.11%
Zenit at Spartak Moscow
Orenburg at Dynamo Mosc