Samara at Rostov

Updated

Samara

19.5%22.5%58.0%
WinDrawRostov Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.86
0Final Score 2

Rostov

Last 5 Games

Samara
Money Line
L 0-3 at Spartak Moscow
W 2-0 at Sochi
T 3-3 vs Loko Moscow
W 1-3 vs Ural
L 1-2 at Krasnodar
Rostov
Money Line
T 0-0 at Akhmat Grozny
L 0-2 at CSKA Moscow
W 0-1 vs Nizhny Novgorod
L 1-2 at Spartak Moscow
T 1-1 at Orenburg

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara+199+247-+215-+215+247+240.5
Rostov+133+115-+113-+113+115+130.3
Draw+263+250-+240-+240+250+267.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara-----+240.5
Rostov-----+130.3
Draw-----+267.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rostov: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Samara: 0.0%
Rostov: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Samara: 20.0%
Rostov: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Samara ML moved from +225 to +215
Rostov ML moved from +117 to +108

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-107-o2½-108-o2½-108o2½-107o2½+102
Underu2½-103u2½-111-u2½-112-u2½-112u2½-111u2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+102
Under-----u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-135 to o2½+114
The Under moved from u2½-144 to u2+117

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%
 
No47.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.88%
Exactly 223.61%
Exactly 415.79%
Exactly 64.23%
Exactly 80.61%
 
Exactly 116.66%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 58.95%
Exactly 71.71%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 037.62%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.98%
Exactly 35.86%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Rostov
Exactly 015.63%
Exactly 129.01%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 316.65%
Exactly 47.73%
Exactly 52.87%
Exactly 60.89%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.93%
Exactly 223.17%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.33%
Exactly 310.13%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 063.60%
Exactly 128.78%
Exactly 26.51%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rostov
Exactly 042.35%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 215.63%
Exactly 34.48%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Samara
Wins by 2+ goals6.70%
Wins by 3+ goals1.75%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Rostov
Wins by 2+ goals33.59%
Wins by 3+ goals15.77%
Wins by 4+ goals6.09%
Wins by 5+ goals1.96%
Wins by 6+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Samara
Rostov
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Samara
Wins by 1 goal12.80%
Wins by 2 goals4.94%
Wins by 3 goals1.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Rostov
Wins by 1 goal24.31%
Wins by 2 goals17.82%
Wins by 3 goals9.68%
Wins by 4 goals4.13%
Wins by 5 goals1.45%
Wins by 6 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.12%5.88%
1.577.45%22.55%
2.553.85%46.15%
3.531.55%68.45%
4.515.76%84.24%
5.56.81%93.19%
6.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.38%37.62%
1.525.60%74.40%
2.57.62%92.38%
3.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals Rostov Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.37%15.63%
1.555.36%44.64%
2.528.44%71.56%
3.511.78%88.22%
4.54.06%95.94%
5.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.07%26.93%
1.537.74%62.26%
2.514.56%85.44%
3.54.43%95.57%
4.51.11%98.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Samara
Rostov
Score012345
0
5.88%
10.92%
10.13%
6.27%
2.91%
1.08%
1
5.75%
10.67%
9.90%
6.12%
2.84%
1.05%
2
2.81%
5.21%
4.84%
2.99%
1.39%
0.52%
3
0.92%
1.70%
1.58%
0.98%
0.45%
0.17%
4
0.22%
0.42%
0.39%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
Samara
1-05.75%
2-02.81%
2-15.21%
3-00.92%
3-11.70%
3-21.58%
4-00.22%
4-10.42%
4-20.39%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-05.88%
1-110.67%
2-24.84%
3-30.98%
4-40.11%
Rostov
0-110.92%
0-210.13%
1-29.90%
0-36.27%
1-36.12%
2-32.99%
0-42.91%
1-42.84%
2-41.39%
3-40.45%
0-51.08%
1-51.05%
2-50.52%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Samara
Rostov
Score012345
0
26.93%
23.14%
9.94%
2.85%
0.61%
0.11%
1
12.19%
10.47%
4.50%
1.29%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.76%
2.37%
1.02%
0.29%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.42%
0.36%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Samara
1-012.19%
2-02.76%
2-12.37%
3-00.42%
3-10.36%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-026.93%
1-110.47%
2-21.02%
Rostov
0-123.14%
0-29.94%
1-24.50%
0-32.85%
1-31.29%
2-30.29%
0-40.61%
1-40.28%
0-50.11%