Sochi at Samara

Updated

Sochi

32.2%27.8%40.0%
Sochi WinDrawSamara Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.26
0Final Score 2

Samara

Last 5 Games

Sochi
Money Line
L 1-2 at Spartak Moscow
L 2-0 vs Baltika
L 1-5 at Krasnodar
T 1-1 vs Dynamo Mosc
L 1-2 at Rubin Kazan
Samara
Money Line
T 2-2 at Loko Moscow
L 6-0 vs Krasnodar
L 1-3 at Akhmat Grozny
T 1-1 vs Baltika
W 4-1 at Rostov

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sochi+304+239-+186-+186+239+209.6
Samara-106+133-+147-+147+147+167.3
Draw+272+223-+205-+205+223+230.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sochi-----+209.6
Samara-----+167.3
Draw-----+230.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sochi: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sochi: 0.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sochi: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sochi: 20.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sochi ML moved from +226 to +212
Samara ML moved from +150 to +142

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+101o2-136-o2¼+108-o2¼+108o2-136o2¼+117
Underu2½-121u2+114-u2¼-128-u2¼-128u2¼-128u2¼-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+117
Under-----u2¼-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.36%
Exactly 226.26%
Exactly 412.28%
Exactly 62.30%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.17%
Exactly 320.74%
Exactly 55.82%
Exactly 70.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Sochi
Exactly 033.13%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.22%
Exactly 37.45%
Exactly 42.06%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 028.24%
Exactly 135.71%
Exactly 222.57%
Exactly 39.51%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.39%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 42.01%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.34%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sochi
Exactly 059.96%
Exactly 130.67%
Exactly 27.84%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 055.69%
Exactly 132.60%
Exactly 29.54%
Exactly 31.86%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sochi
Wins by 2+ goals12.69%
Wins by 3+ goals3.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Samara
Wins by 2+ goals17.71%
Wins by 3+ goals6.09%
Wins by 4+ goals1.67%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Sochi
Samara
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sochi
Wins by 1 goal19.45%
Wins by 2 goals8.88%
Wins by 3 goals2.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Samara
Wins by 1 goal22.25%
Wins by 2 goals11.63%
Wins by 3 goals4.42%
Wins by 4 goals1.31%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.64%9.36%
1.568.48%31.52%
2.542.22%57.78%
3.521.48%78.52%
4.59.20%90.80%
5.53.38%96.62%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Sochi Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.87%33.13%
1.530.27%69.73%
2.510.06%89.94%
3.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.76%28.24%
1.536.05%63.95%
2.513.47%86.53%
3.53.96%96.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.61%33.39%
1.529.98%70.02%
2.59.90%90.10%
3.52.55%97.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sochi
Samara
Score012345
0
9.36%
11.83%
7.48%
3.15%
1.00%
0.25%
1
10.34%
13.07%
8.26%
3.48%
1.10%
0.28%
2
5.71%
7.22%
4.56%
1.92%
0.61%
0.15%
3
2.10%
2.66%
1.68%
0.71%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.58%
0.73%
0.46%
0.20%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.13%
0.16%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Sochi
1-010.34%
2-05.71%
2-17.22%
3-02.10%
3-12.66%
3-21.68%
4-00.58%
4-10.73%
4-20.46%
4-30.20%
5-00.13%
5-10.16%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-09.36%
1-113.07%
2-24.56%
3-30.71%
Samara
0-111.83%
0-27.48%
1-28.26%
0-33.15%
1-33.48%
2-31.92%
0-41.00%
1-41.10%
2-40.61%
3-40.22%
0-50.25%
1-50.28%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Sochi
Samara
Score01234
0
33.39%
19.55%
5.72%
1.12%
0.16%
1
17.08%
10.00%
2.93%
0.57%
0.08%
2
4.37%
2.56%
0.75%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.74%
0.44%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
Sochi
1-017.08%
2-04.37%
2-12.56%
3-00.74%
3-10.44%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-033.39%
1-110.00%
2-20.75%
Samara
0-119.55%
0-25.72%
1-22.93%
0-31.12%
1-30.57%
2-30.15%
0-40.16%
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