Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Barcelona
Sevilla
53.0%
21.9%
25.0%
-140
+363
-140
+340
2
1
-0.56523-0.58656-0.63412
Alaves
Las Palmas
26.2%
45.5%
28.3%
+212
+138
+205
+140
1
1
-1.28910-1.26171-1.26351
Valencia
Celta Vigo
29.7%
43.2%
27.1%
+305
-104
+325
-110
2
2
-1.33891-1.31509-1.30538
Mallorca
Getafe
19.5%
54.1%
26.4%
+235
+140
+220
+145
2
1
-1.23155-1.19577-1.63691
Betis
Real Madrid
6.8%
80.1%
13.2%
+1121
-438
+985
-425
0
0
-2.02624-2.00783-2.02867
Cadiz
Almeria
22.8%
51.0%
26.2%
+230
+115
+235
+115
1
6
-0.79297-0.79531-0.67309
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano
47.9%
25.0%
27.1%
+140
+230
+135
+216
1
0
-0.89794-0.89845-0.73670
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
37.9%
32.6%
29.5%
+177
+163
+180
+158
2
0
-1.05360-1.07455-0.97003
Villarreal
Osasuna
32.5%
40.0%
27.6%
+166
+157
+152
+175
1
1
-1.36865-1.37579-1.28851
Granada
Girona
22.1%
53.1%
24.8%
+1078
-435
+975
-450
0
7
-0.23357-0.24598-0.63390
Girona
Valencia
22.5%
52.6%
24.9%
-103
+297
+110
+278
3
1
-0.70271-0.74932-1.49112
Real Sociedad
Betis
31.6%
40.9%
27.5%
+147
+251
+145
+237
2
0
-0.91960-0.93578-1.15043
Celta Vigo
Granada
30.9%
41.7%
27.4%
+107
+303
+100
+308
2
1
-0.74039-0.72348-1.17539
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid
8.9%
74.1%
17.0%
+948
-305
+925
-300
4
1
-2.37161-2.35304-2.41665
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
5.9%
81.5%
12.6%
+880
-298
+810
-325
0
3
-0.30944-0.31563-0.20491
Sevilla
Athletic Club
17.6%
58.4%
24.0%
+525
-175
+500
-180
0
2
-0.47997-0.48568-0.53741
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/20/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Real Madrid (29-1-7, 94 pts)29.51.27.395.8100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Barcelona (25-5-7, 82 pts)25.65.27.284.10.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Girona (24-7-6, 78 pts)24.37.46.379.30.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Atletico Madrid (23-10-4, 73 pts)23.510.24.374.80.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Athletic Club (18-8-11, 65 pts)18.68.211.267.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Real Sociedad (16-9-12, 60 pts)16.29.512.361.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
7Betis (14-9-14, 56 pts)14.29.514.356.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Villarreal (14-13-10, 52 pts)14.413.310.353.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Valencia (13-15-9, 48 pts)13.515.29.349.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Alaves (12-16-9, 45 pts)12.416.39.346.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Osasuna (12-17-8, 44 pts)12.317.48.345.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Getafe (10-14-13, 43 pts)10.314.313.344.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Sevilla (10-16-11, 41 pts)10.216.611.241.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Celta Vigo (10-17-10, 40 pts)10.217.510.341.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Las Palmas (10-18-9, 39 pts)10.318.49.340.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Rayo Vallecano (8-15-14, 38 pts)8.215.614.238.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Mallorca (7-14-16, 37 pts)7.314.316.338.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Cadiz (6-16-15, 33 pts)6.416.315.334.50.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
19Granada (4-24-9, 21 pts)4.424.39.322.40.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
20Almeria (2-23-12, 18 pts)2.323.412.319.20.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.