Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 30, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Almeria
Athletic Club 		13.1%
66.4%		20.5%
+670
-218

0.74
1.97		2.71
o2½-131
u2¾-115

Games for Sep 29, 2022
Games for Oct 1, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid		32.5%
38.0%		29.5%
+141
+225
+140
+210
2
1		-0.90496-0.92591-1.12396
Espanyol
Real Sociedad		14.3%
65.1%		20.6%
+450
-135
+440
-150
1
2		-0.57020-0.56138-0.42883
Girona
Betis		10.5%
72.6%		17.0%
+452
-139
+450
-150
1
2		-0.56757-0.56161-0.32089
Sevilla
Villarreal		24.2%
50.2%		25.7%
+405
-130
+400
-135
1
1		-1.33930-1.34205-1.35957
Getafe
Osasuna		19.7%
54.6%		25.7%
+539
-140
+480
-140
2
0		-1.88401-1.81070-1.62460
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club		17.7%
58.6%		23.7%
+535
-160
+530
-175
2
3		-0.51059-0.50221-0.53403
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/18/22
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Real Madrid (6-0-0, 18 pts)25.65.66.983.657.6%98.9%1.1%0.0%
2Barcelona (5-0-1, 16 pts)24.05.98.180.038.1%97.9%2.0%0.0%
3Betis (5-1-0, 15 pts)18.710.68.764.90.5%47.2%30.5%0.0%
4Athletic Club (4-1-1, 13 pts)16.012.110.057.90.1%12.8%28.9%0.1%
5Osasuna (4-2-0, 12 pts)14.115.18.851.20.0%1.9%9.1%2.6%
6Villarreal (3-1-2, 11 pts)17.99.710.464.00.3%42.2%34.2%0.0%
7Atletico Madrid (3-2-1, 10 pts)20.38.98.769.73.3%74.6%19.4%0.0%
8Real Sociedad (3-2-1, 10 pts)15.912.29.957.60.0%11.5%28.9%0.4%
9Valencia (3-3-0, 9 pts)14.314.88.951.90.1%2.6%13.7%1.7%
10Mallorca (2-2-2, 8 pts)10.916.610.543.10.0%0.0%1.1%17.2%
11Girona (2-3-1, 7 pts)9.619.39.138.00.0%0.0%0.2%43.4%
12Rayo Vallecano (2-3-1, 7 pts)10.617.89.641.40.0%0.0%0.8%23.7%
13Celta Vigo (2-3-1, 7 pts)13.114.910.049.30.0%1.9%5.2%4.5%
14Getafe (2-3-1, 7 pts)11.516.89.844.20.0%0.2%2.1%13.8%
15Sevilla (1-3-2, 5 pts)15.012.410.655.60.0%8.1%21.5%0.4%
16Almeria (1-4-1, 4 pts)9.818.69.639.00.0%0.1%0.2%34.6%
17Espanyol (1-4-1, 4 pts)10.318.09.740.60.0%0.0%0.6%27.9%
18Valladolid (1-4-1, 4 pts)9.518.89.738.20.0%0.1%0.3%40.5%
19Cadiz (1-5-0, 3 pts)10.219.08.939.30.0%0.0%0.2%36.3%
20Elche (0-5-1, 1 pts)9.019.39.836.70.0%0.0%0.0%52.9%

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.