Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 13, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Valencia 		26.8%
47.1%		26.1%
+205
+161

0.86
1.51		2.37
o2¼+105
u2¼-125

Games for Aug 12, 2021
Games for Aug 14, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alaves
Sevilla		16.1%
68.0%		15.9%
+775
-270
+750
-275
0
1		-0.34657-0.34243-0.38541
Getafe
Granada		31.0%
41.1%		27.9%
+155
+196
+150
+205
0
0		-1.04049-1.05066-1.03074
Athletic Club
Elche		45.4%
28.0%		26.6%
+266
+105
+260
+100
0
2		-0.75224-0.74360-1.27354
Atletico Madrid
Valladolid		68.5%
15.4%		16.2%
-295
+942
-350
+850
2
1		-0.30848-0.29982-0.37901
Villarreal
Real Madrid		25.2%
53.4%		21.4%
+472
-169
+475
-180
1
2		-0.48054-0.47541-0.62738
Real Sociedad
Osasuna		48.2%
27.9%		24.0%
-175
+483
-190
+475
1
0		-0.47928-0.47289-0.73039
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Barcelona (0-0-0, 0 pts)22.27.18.675.339.0%92.8%6.0%0.0%
2Real Madrid (0-0-0, 0 pts)21.97.28.974.634.0%91.3%6.8%0.0%
3Atletico Madrid (0-0-0, 0 pts)20.48.29.570.616.3%78.2%17.4%0.0%
4Sevilla (0-0-0, 0 pts)18.39.710.065.05.3%53.3%28.8%0.1%
5Real Sociedad (0-0-0, 0 pts)16.511.110.459.81.7%23.9%35.2%0.3%
6Betis (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.314.010.650.60.0%3.2%12.2%4.4%
7Granada (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.814.710.548.80.0%2.0%9.8%7.3%
8Osasuna (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.215.210.647.30.0%1.4%6.3%10.6%
9Levante (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.015.610.446.40.0%1.1%4.9%13.0%
10Getafe (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.915.510.546.40.0%1.0%4.1%12.3%
11Espanyol (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.416.410.344.40.0%0.8%3.2%20.6%
12Rayo Vallecano (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.618.310.038.90.0%0.1%0.4%45.5%
13Cadiz (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.518.510.038.50.0%0.1%0.6%46.9%
14Elche (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.518.510.038.40.0%0.0%0.2%49.2%
15Alaves (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.918.110.139.70.0%0.2%0.7%41.2%
16Mallorca (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.617.110.342.10.0%0.5%1.7%29.2%
17Celta Vigo (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.614.810.648.30.2%2.3%5.8%8.0%
18Villarreal (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.810.210.063.53.4%40.8%34.8%0.2%
19Athletic Club (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.314.010.750.60.1%4.2%12.2%4.8%
20Valencia (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.914.510.649.40.0%2.8%8.9%6.4%

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.