Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 21, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Betis
Espanyol
36.2%
35.3%
28.5%
+131
+235
+125
+225
1.16
1.12
2.28
o2½-121
u2½+106
o2½-120
u2½+100
Games for Jan 20, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Granada
Getafe
30.4%
41.4%
28.1%
+358
+110
+345
+100
2
4
-0.75385-0.74440-0.88121
Sevilla
Valencia
46.5%
28.1%
25.4%
+158
+225
+145
+225
1
1
-1.07588-1.08538-1.01726
Osasuna
Celta Vigo
30.1%
43.8%
26.1%
+420
-125
+425
-135
0
2
-0.60647-0.60373-0.82586
Espanyol
Cadiz
34.9%
34.3%
30.9%
+165
+212
+135
+230
2
2
-1.06944-1.07404-1.06234
Alaves
Betis
18.6%
65.2%
16.2%
+580
-176
+560
-200
0
4
-0.47361-0.45497-0.42794
Villarreal
Elche
52.9%
24.8%
22.3%
-160
+493
-165
+470
0
1
-1.80874-1.78159-1.39634
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.75385 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.74440 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.88121
-0.12736
-0.13681

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/17/22
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Real Madrid (15-2-4, 49 pts)25.35.07.783.688.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sevilla (13-2-5, 44 pts)21.86.69.675.010.3%97.5%2.1%0.0%
3Betis (10-6-4, 34 pts)17.111.99.060.30.0%21.9%44.7%0.0%
4Atletico Madrid (9-5-6, 33 pts)18.78.910.466.50.7%71.0%22.2%0.0%
5Real Sociedad (9-5-6, 33 pts)16.810.211.061.40.2%28.6%41.6%0.0%
6Barcelona (8-4-8, 32 pts)17.77.912.465.60.5%66.2%25.0%0.0%
7Rayo Vallecano (9-7-4, 31 pts)14.514.78.852.30.0%1.9%9.0%0.1%
8Villarreal (7-6-8, 29 pts)14.910.612.557.10.0%10.6%34.2%0.0%
9Athletic Club (6-5-10, 28 pts)12.011.114.950.90.0%1.1%8.0%0.1%
10Valencia (7-6-7, 28 pts)12.913.112.050.70.0%0.6%6.2%0.5%
11Espanyol (7-8-5, 26 pts)12.815.210.048.30.0%0.4%2.7%0.7%
12Osasuna (6-7-7, 25 pts)11.814.212.047.30.0%0.1%1.8%1.4%
13Granada (5-6-9, 24 pts)10.912.914.246.90.0%0.1%1.8%2.0%
14Celta Vigo (6-9-5, 23 pts)11.616.210.145.00.0%0.0%0.6%2.9%
15Elche (5-9-7, 22 pts)9.217.411.439.10.0%0.0%0.1%25.6%
16Mallorca (4-8-8, 20 pts)8.716.612.738.80.0%0.0%0.0%30.4%
17Getafe (4-10-6, 18 pts)9.617.411.039.80.0%0.0%0.0%19.7%
18Alaves (4-11-5, 17 pts)8.819.59.736.20.0%0.0%0.0%49.8%
19Cadiz (2-10-8, 14 pts)6.518.912.632.20.0%0.0%0.0%81.0%
20Levante (1-11-8, 11 pts)5.919.312.730.50.0%0.0%0.0%85.8%

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.