Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 9, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Oviedo
Athletic Club 		6.8%
78.1%		15.1%
+710
-180
+690
-195
0.54
2.36		2.90
o2¼+102
u2¼-120
o2-145
u2½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 		49.5%
24.7%		25.8%
-210
+615
-230
+545
1.52
0.99		2.51
o3+103
u3-102
o3-105
u3-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Getafe
Mallorca 		20.7%
52.4%		26.9%
+236
+175
+226
+155
0.80
1.44		2.24
o1¾+104
u2-145
o1½-135
u1½+130
Betis
Valencia 		40.3%
32.3%		27.3%
+124
+235
+120
+225
1.30
1.13		2.43
o2½-106
u2½-105
o2½-115
u2½-105
Barcelona
Celta Vigo 		61.5%
17.0%		21.5%
-127
+353
-140
+341
1.94
0.91		2.85
o3½+104
u3½-118
o3½+105
u3½-120
Games for Nov 8, 2025
Games for Nov 10, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Villarreal
Espanyol		42.0%
31.2%		26.8%
+158
+187
+140
+185
2
0		-0.96535-0.92352-0.86822
Levante
Atletico Madrid		6.6%
79.9%		13.5%
+1250
-445
+1205
-505
1
3		-0.23082-0.22877-0.22431
Osasuna
Sevilla		28.8%
43.0%		28.2%
+250
+138
+290
+126
0
1		-0.88247-0.82191-0.84383
Alaves
Girona		24.7%
48.2%		27.1%
+285
+114
+275
+125
0
1		-0.79043-0.82050-0.73050
Real Sociedad
Elche		33.3%
37.1%		29.5%
+153
+220
+155
+212
1
1		-1.17668-1.18800-1.21919
Osasuna
Oviedo		38.1%
32.0%		29.9%
+148
+223
+145
+224
0
0		-1.18378-1.17005-1.20835
Mallorca
Betis		15.8%
62.6%		21.6%
+495
-176
+500
-180
0
3		-0.47994-0.48568-0.46898
Elche
Barcelona		4.3%
85.3%		10.4%
+1350
-488
+1450
-515
1
3		-0.20853-0.21209-0.15908
Espanyol
Alaves		25.6%
47.0%		27.4%
+235
+145
+230
+140
1
2		-0.92594-0.92712-0.75445
Celta Vigo
Levante		41.7%
31.3%		27.0%
+138
+215
+150
+190
2
1		-0.89504-0.95451-0.87455
Valencia
Real Madrid		6.4%
80.8%		12.8%
+1925
-655
+1800
-700
0
4		-0.16819-0.17459-0.21329
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad		42.5%
28.9%		28.7%
+200
+178
+185
+185
2
3		-1.05177-1.08726-1.24261
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid		7.9%
76.2%		15.9%
+825
-268
+810
-290
0
3		-0.34791-0.33420-0.27176
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal		25.3%
49.4%		25.3%
+430
-133
+380
-140
0
4		-0.57909-0.58913-0.70556
Girona
Getafe		30.1%
40.4%		29.6%
+318
+115
+305
+115
1
2		-0.78509-0.80982-0.90753
Atletico Madrid
Betis		40.7%
31.5%		27.8%
+119
+245
+115
+235
2
0		-0.80788-0.80979-0.89980
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks44-0-0 (1.000)0-0.71727 
Sportsbooks44-0-0 (1.000)0-0.69868 
DRatings44-0-0 (1.000)0-0.66672
0.05055
0.03196

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.