Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 21, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Betis
Espanyol 		36.2%
35.3%		28.5%
+131
+235
+125
+225
1.16
1.12		2.28
o2½-121
u2½+106
o2½-120
u2½+100
Games for Jan 20, 2022
Games for Jan 22, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Granada
Getafe		30.4%
41.4%		28.1%
+358
+110
+345
+100
2
4		-0.75385-0.74440-0.88121
Sevilla
Valencia		46.5%
28.1%		25.4%
+158
+225
+145
+225
1
1		-1.07588-1.08538-1.01726
Osasuna
Celta Vigo		30.1%
43.8%		26.1%
+420
-125
+425
-135
0
2		-0.60647-0.60373-0.82586
Espanyol
Cadiz		34.9%
34.3%		30.9%
+165
+212
+135
+230
2
2		-1.06944-1.07404-1.06234
Alaves
Betis		18.6%
65.2%		16.2%
+580
-176
+560
-200
0
4		-0.47361-0.45497-0.42794
Villarreal
Elche		52.9%
24.8%		22.3%
-160
+493
-165
+470
0
1		-1.80874-1.78159-1.39634
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.75385 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.74440 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.88121
-0.12736
-0.13681

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/17/22
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Real Madrid (15-2-4, 49 pts)25.35.07.783.688.3%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Sevilla (13-2-5, 44 pts)21.86.69.675.010.3%97.5%2.1%0.0%
3Betis (10-6-4, 34 pts)17.111.99.060.30.0%21.9%44.7%0.0%
4Atletico Madrid (9-5-6, 33 pts)18.78.910.466.50.7%71.0%22.2%0.0%
5Real Sociedad (9-5-6, 33 pts)16.810.211.061.40.2%28.6%41.6%0.0%
6Barcelona (8-4-8, 32 pts)17.77.912.465.60.5%66.2%25.0%0.0%
7Rayo Vallecano (9-7-4, 31 pts)14.514.78.852.30.0%1.9%9.0%0.1%
8Villarreal (7-6-8, 29 pts)14.910.612.557.10.0%10.6%34.2%0.0%
9Athletic Club (6-5-10, 28 pts)12.011.114.950.90.0%1.1%8.0%0.1%
10Valencia (7-6-7, 28 pts)12.913.112.050.70.0%0.6%6.2%0.5%
11Espanyol (7-8-5, 26 pts)12.815.210.048.30.0%0.4%2.7%0.7%
12Osasuna (6-7-7, 25 pts)11.814.212.047.30.0%0.1%1.8%1.4%
13Granada (5-6-9, 24 pts)10.912.914.246.90.0%0.1%1.8%2.0%
14Celta Vigo (6-9-5, 23 pts)11.616.210.145.00.0%0.0%0.6%2.9%
15Elche (5-9-7, 22 pts)9.217.411.439.10.0%0.0%0.1%25.6%
16Mallorca (4-8-8, 20 pts)8.716.612.738.80.0%0.0%0.0%30.4%
17Getafe (4-10-6, 18 pts)9.617.411.039.80.0%0.0%0.0%19.7%
18Alaves (4-11-5, 17 pts)8.819.59.736.20.0%0.0%0.0%49.8%
19Cadiz (2-10-8, 14 pts)6.518.912.632.20.0%0.0%0.0%81.0%
20Levante (1-11-8, 11 pts)5.919.312.730.50.0%0.0%0.0%85.8%

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.