Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

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Games for May 22, 2022
Games for May 24, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Athletic Club
Sevilla
18.5%
56.4%
25.0%
+173
+186
+160
+185
0
1
-1.07236-1.09419-0.57212
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
41.3%
30.1%
28.6%
+188
+170
+165
+175
2
1
-1.08276-1.02210-0.88491
Villarreal
Barcelona
13.6%
67.8%
18.5%
+268
+102
+270
-110
2
0
-1.32268-1.35759-1.99407
Mallorca
Osasuna
19.3%
56.3%
24.4%
+155
+200
+145
+205
2
0
-0.96420-0.94348-1.64698
Espanyol
Granada
27.2%
46.5%
26.3%
+685
-220
+650
-240
0
0
-1.60804-1.60664-1.33461
Cadiz
Alaves
30.8%
39.6%
29.6%
-130
+385
-135
+380
1
0
-0.59481-0.59597-1.17801
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks30-3-0 (0.000)0-1.15927 
Sportsbooks31-2-0 (0.333)0-1.15796 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-1.15037
0.00890
0.00759

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/22/22
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Real Madrid (26-4-8, 86 pts)26.04.08.086.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Barcelona (21-7-10, 73 pts)21.07.010.073.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Atletico Madrid (21-9-8, 71 pts)21.09.08.071.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Sevilla (18-4-16, 70 pts)18.04.016.070.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Betis (19-11-8, 65 pts)19.011.08.065.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Real Sociedad (17-10-11, 62 pts)17.010.011.062.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
7Villarreal (16-11-11, 59 pts)16.011.011.059.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Athletic Club (14-11-13, 55 pts)14.011.013.055.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Valencia (11-12-15, 48 pts)11.012.015.048.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Osasuna (12-15-11, 47 pts)12.015.011.047.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Celta Vigo (12-16-10, 46 pts)12.016.010.046.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Rayo Vallecano (11-18-9, 42 pts)11.018.09.042.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Elche (11-18-9, 42 pts)11.018.09.042.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Espanyol (10-16-12, 42 pts)10.016.012.042.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Getafe (8-15-15, 39 pts)8.015.015.039.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Cadiz (8-15-15, 39 pts)8.015.015.039.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Mallorca (10-19-9, 39 pts)10.019.09.039.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Granada (8-16-14, 38 pts)8.016.014.038.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
19Levante (8-19-11, 35 pts)8.019.011.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
20Alaves (8-23-7, 31 pts)8.023.07.031.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.