Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 23, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Betis
Celta Vigo
36.0%
36.4%
27.6%
+140
+167

1.20
1.21
2.41


Barcelona
Eibar
69.6%
16.4%
13.9%


2.54
0.60
3.14


Getafe
Granada
31.0%
41.1%
27.9%
+191
+133

0.98
1.31
2.29


Valencia
Huesca
45.0%
28.9%
26.1%
+366
-152

1.50
0.96
2.46


Cadiz
Levante
25.0%
51.6%
23.4%


0.85
1.74
2.59


Real Sociedad
Osasuna
48.2%
27.9%
24.0%


1.70
0.99
2.69


Villarreal
Real Madrid
25.2%
53.4%
21.4%
+675
-303

0.92
1.95
2.87


Alaves
Sevilla
16.1%
68.0%
15.9%
+325
-143

0.54
2.28
2.82


Atletico Madrid
Valladolid
68.5%
15.4%
16.2%
-286
+720

2.22
0.50
2.72


Athletic Club
Elche
45.4%
28.0%
26.6%


1.45
0.90
2.35


Games for May 22, 2021
Games for May 24, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Sevilla
Villarreal
38.8%
33.6%
27.6%
+220
+125
+220
+120
0
4
-0.83427-0.83605-1.09079
Eibar
Valencia
28.3%
46.6%
25.1%
+221
+133
+225
+125
1
4
-0.87196-0.84807-0.76336
Valladolid
Real Sociedad
20.3%
61.3%
18.4%
+650
-208
+600
-200
1
4
-0.42540-0.44669-0.48923
Elche
Cadiz
31.8%
37.8%
30.3%
+125
+257
+125
+240
3
1
-0.83374-0.86074-1.14460
Levante
Getafe
34.4%
36.6%
29.0%
+504
-155
+475
-160
1
2
-0.52723-0.53664-1.00509
Huesca
Betis
27.6%
48.0%
24.3%
+280
+111
+290
+100
0
1
-0.76531-0.73441-0.73330
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks109-1-0 (0.900)0-0.81432 
Sportsbooks109-1-0 (0.900)0-0.82635 
DRatings106-4-0 (0.600)0-0.93622
-0.12190
-0.10988

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/12/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Atletico Madrid (24-4-8, 80 pts)25.34.38.484.489.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Real Madrid (23-4-9, 78 pts)24.04.59.581.67.4%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Barcelona (23-6-7, 76 pts)24.36.37.480.43.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Sevilla (23-8-5, 74 pts)24.08.45.677.50.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Real Sociedad (15-10-11, 56 pts)16.010.411.659.60.0%0.0%93.5%0.0%
6Villarreal (14-9-13, 55 pts)14.69.913.657.30.0%0.0%50.3%0.0%
7Betis (15-11-10, 55 pts)15.811.710.657.90.0%0.0%55.6%0.0%
8Celta Vigo (13-12-11, 50 pts)13.513.011.551.90.0%0.0%0.6%0.0%
9Athletic Club (11-12-13, 46 pts)11.712.813.548.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Granada (13-17-6, 45 pts)13.917.66.648.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Osasuna (11-14-11, 44 pts)11.415.111.545.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Cadiz (11-15-10, 43 pts)11.615.810.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Levante (9-14-13, 40 pts)9.814.613.643.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Valencia (9-15-12, 39 pts)9.815.612.642.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Alaves (8-17-11, 35 pts)8.418.011.636.80.0%0.0%0.0%4.5%
16Getafe (8-18-10, 34 pts)8.718.810.636.50.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
17Huesca (7-17-12, 33 pts)7.617.912.635.30.0%0.0%0.0%25.6%
18Valladolid (5-15-16, 31 pts)5.316.216.532.50.0%0.0%0.0%83.7%
19Eibar (6-18-12, 30 pts)6.519.112.431.90.0%0.0%0.0%88.9%
20Elche (6-18-12, 30 pts)6.618.812.532.40.0%0.0%0.0%91.6%

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.