Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 23, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Betis
Celta Vigo 		36.0%
36.4%		27.6%
+140
+167

1.20
1.21		2.41


Barcelona
Eibar 		69.6%
16.4%		13.9%


2.54
0.60		3.14


Getafe
Granada 		31.0%
41.1%		27.9%
+191
+133

0.98
1.31		2.29


Valencia
Huesca 		45.0%
28.9%		26.1%
+366
-152

1.50
0.96		2.46


Cadiz
Levante 		25.0%
51.6%		23.4%


0.85
1.74		2.59


Real Sociedad
Osasuna 		48.2%
27.9%		24.0%


1.70
0.99		2.69


Villarreal
Real Madrid 		25.2%
53.4%		21.4%
+675
-303

0.92
1.95		2.87


Alaves
Sevilla 		16.1%
68.0%		15.9%
+325
-143

0.54
2.28		2.82


Atletico Madrid
Valladolid 		68.5%
15.4%		16.2%
-286
+720

2.22
0.50		2.72


Athletic Club
Elche 		45.4%
28.0%		26.6%


1.45
0.90		2.35


Games for May 22, 2021
Games for May 24, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sevilla
Villarreal		38.8%
33.6%		27.6%
+220
+125
+220
+120
0
4		-0.83427-0.83605-1.09079
Eibar
Valencia		28.3%
46.6%		25.1%
+221
+133
+225
+125
1
4		-0.87196-0.84807-0.76336
Valladolid
Real Sociedad		20.3%
61.3%		18.4%
+650
-208
+600
-200
1
4		-0.42540-0.44669-0.48923
Elche
Cadiz		31.8%
37.8%		30.3%
+125
+257
+125
+240
3
1		-0.83374-0.86074-1.14460
Levante
Getafe		34.4%
36.6%		29.0%
+504
-155
+475
-160
1
2		-0.52723-0.53664-1.00509
Huesca
Betis		27.6%
48.0%		24.3%
+280
+111
+290
+100
0
1		-0.76531-0.73441-0.73330
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks109-1-0 (0.900)0-0.81432 
Sportsbooks109-1-0 (0.900)0-0.82635 
DRatings106-4-0 (0.600)0-0.93622
-0.12190
-0.10988

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/12/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Atletico Madrid (24-4-8, 80 pts)25.34.38.484.489.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Real Madrid (23-4-9, 78 pts)24.04.59.581.67.4%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Barcelona (23-6-7, 76 pts)24.36.37.480.43.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Sevilla (23-8-5, 74 pts)24.08.45.677.50.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Real Sociedad (15-10-11, 56 pts)16.010.411.659.60.0%0.0%93.5%0.0%
6Villarreal (14-9-13, 55 pts)14.69.913.657.30.0%0.0%50.3%0.0%
7Betis (15-11-10, 55 pts)15.811.710.657.90.0%0.0%55.6%0.0%
8Celta Vigo (13-12-11, 50 pts)13.513.011.551.90.0%0.0%0.6%0.0%
9Athletic Club (11-12-13, 46 pts)11.712.813.548.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Granada (13-17-6, 45 pts)13.917.66.648.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Osasuna (11-14-11, 44 pts)11.415.111.545.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Cadiz (11-15-10, 43 pts)11.615.810.645.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Levante (9-14-13, 40 pts)9.814.613.643.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Valencia (9-15-12, 39 pts)9.815.612.642.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Alaves (8-17-11, 35 pts)8.418.011.636.80.0%0.0%0.0%4.5%
16Getafe (8-18-10, 34 pts)8.718.810.636.50.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
17Huesca (7-17-12, 33 pts)7.617.912.635.30.0%0.0%0.0%25.6%
18Valladolid (5-15-16, 31 pts)5.316.216.532.50.0%0.0%0.0%83.7%
19Eibar (6-18-12, 30 pts)6.519.112.431.90.0%0.0%0.0%88.9%
20Elche (6-18-12, 30 pts)6.618.812.532.40.0%0.0%0.0%91.6%

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.