Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 27, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Alaves
38.7%
32.9%
28.4%
+185
+196
+180
+185
1.23
1.05
2.28
o2+103
u2-115
o2-105
u2-110
Valencia
Getafe
34.6%
35.5%
29.8%
+219
+161
+220
+160
1.04
1.07
2.11
o2+105
u2-118
o2+110
u2-125
Games for Feb 26, 2021

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Orig.
Draw %
Closing
Line
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Barcelona
Sevilla
42.7%
30.6%
26.8%
+125
+235
+120
+225
2.43
o2½-130
u3-123
o2½-130
u2½+115
TIME
HALF
1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Huesca
Eibar
29.3%
43.4%
27.3%
+240
+138
+255
+120
1
1
-0.70896-0.72150-0.71243
Athletic Club
Levante
34.1%
38.2%
27.7%
+110
+273
+110
+280
1
1
-0.73384-0.73648-0.69576

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-0.72140 
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-0.72899 
DRatings20-0-2 (0.500)0-0.70409
0.01731
0.02490

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/15/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Atletico Madrid (17-1-3, 54 pts)26.64.47.086.981.8%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Real Madrid (15-4-4, 49 pts)23.17.37.577.06.9%98.8%1.2%0.0%
3Barcelona (14-4-4, 46 pts)23.57.07.577.910.0%99.3%0.7%0.0%
4Sevilla (14-5-3, 45 pts)21.89.17.172.51.3%91.1%8.7%0.0%
5Real Sociedad (10-5-8, 38 pts)16.49.512.161.40.0%7.0%81.9%0.0%
6Villarreal (8-3-12, 36 pts)14.57.615.959.40.0%3.6%73.5%0.0%
7Betis (10-10-3, 33 pts)15.015.87.252.30.0%0.2%14.0%0.0%
8Granada (8-9-6, 30 pts)13.514.410.150.50.0%0.0%7.3%0.4%
9Celta Vigo (7-8-8, 29 pts)11.414.612.046.30.0%0.0%0.9%1.5%
10Athletic Club (8-10-4, 28 pts)13.616.08.449.20.0%0.0%7.1%0.4%
11Levante (6-7-9, 27 pts)11.513.213.347.80.0%0.0%3.1%1.2%
12Osasuna (6-10-7, 25 pts)10.516.411.042.60.0%0.0%0.2%8.8%
13Valencia (5-9-9, 24 pts)10.414.513.144.40.0%0.0%1.1%4.6%
14Getafe (6-11-6, 24 pts)11.116.810.143.50.0%0.0%0.3%7.4%
15Cadiz (6-11-6, 24 pts)10.117.810.140.30.0%0.0%0.0%23.1%
16Alaves (5-11-7, 22 pts)9.117.611.238.60.0%0.0%0.0%32.2%
17Eibar (4-10-9, 21 pts)8.416.613.038.10.0%0.0%0.0%28.7%
18Valladolid (4-10-9, 21 pts)7.817.412.836.20.0%0.0%0.0%49.0%
19Elche (3-9-9, 18 pts)7.117.513.434.80.0%0.0%0.0%62.7%
20Huesca (2-11-10, 16 pts)6.018.014.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%80.0%

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.