Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated 61 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/26/2024 07:00 PM	Barcelona Sevilla	53.0% 21.9%	25.0%	-140 +363 -140 +340	2 1	-0.56523-0.58656	-0.63412
05/26/2024 02:15 PM	Alaves Las Palmas	26.2% 45.5%	28.3%	+212 +138 +205 +140	1 1	-1.28910-1.26171	-1.26351
05/26/2024 02:15 PM	Valencia Celta Vigo	29.7% 43.2%	27.1%	+305 -104 +325 -110	2 2	-1.33891-1.31509	-1.30538
05/26/2024 12:00 PM	Mallorca Getafe	19.5% 54.1%	26.4%	+235 +140 +220 +145	2 1	-1.23155-1.19577	-1.63691
05/25/2024 07:00 PM	Betis Real Madrid	6.8% 80.1%	13.2%	+1121 -438 +985 -425	0 0	-2.02624-2.00783	-2.02867
05/25/2024 04:30 PM	Cadiz Almeria	22.8% 51.0%	26.2%	+230 +115 +235 +115	1 6	-0.79297-0.79531	-0.67309
05/25/2024 04:30 PM	Athletic Club Rayo Vallecano	47.9% 25.0%	27.1%	+140 +230 +135 +216	1 0	-0.89794-0.89845	-0.73670
05/25/2024 02:15 PM	Atletico Madrid Real Sociedad	37.9% 32.6%	29.5%	+177 +163 +180 +158	2 0	-1.05360-1.07455	-0.97003
05/25/2024 12:00 PM	Villarreal Osasuna	32.5% 40.0%	27.6%	+166 +157 +152 +175	1 1	-1.36865-1.37579	-1.28851
05/24/2024 07:00 PM	Granada Girona	22.1% 53.1%	24.8%	+1078 -435 +975 -450	0 7	-0.23357-0.24598	-0.63390
05/19/2024 05:00 PM	Girona Valencia	22.5% 52.6%	24.9%	-103 +297 +110 +278	3 1	-0.70271-0.74932	-1.49112
05/19/2024 05:00 PM	Real Sociedad Betis	31.6% 40.9%	27.5%	+147 +251 +145 +237	2 0	-0.91960-0.93578	-1.15043
05/19/2024 05:00 PM	Celta Vigo Granada	30.9% 41.7%	27.4%	+107 +303 +100 +308	2 1	-0.74039-0.72348	-1.17539
05/19/2024 05:00 PM	Osasuna Atletico Madrid	8.9% 74.1%	17.0%	+948 -305 +925 -300	4 1	-2.37161-2.35304	-2.41665
05/19/2024 05:00 PM	Rayo Vallecano Barcelona	5.9% 81.5%	12.6%	+880 -298 +810 -325	0 3	-0.30944-0.31563	-0.20491
05/19/2024 05:00 PM	Sevilla Athletic Club	17.6% 58.4%	24.0%	+525 -175 +500 -180	0 2	-0.47997-0.48568	-0.53741

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/20/24

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Real Madrid (29-1-7, 94 pts)	29.5	1.2	7.3	95.8	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Barcelona (25-5-7, 82 pts)	25.6	5.2	7.2	84.1	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
3	Girona (24-7-6, 78 pts)	24.3	7.4	6.3	79.3	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
4	Atletico Madrid (23-10-4, 73 pts)	23.5	10.2	4.3	74.8	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
5	Athletic Club (18-8-11, 65 pts)	18.6	8.2	11.2	67.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
6	Real Sociedad (16-9-12, 60 pts)	16.2	9.5	12.3	61.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
7	Betis (14-9-14, 56 pts)	14.2	9.5	14.3	56.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	Villarreal (14-13-10, 52 pts)	14.4	13.3	10.3	53.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Valencia (13-15-9, 48 pts)	13.5	15.2	9.3	49.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Alaves (12-16-9, 45 pts)	12.4	16.3	9.3	46.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Osasuna (12-17-8, 44 pts)	12.3	17.4	8.3	45.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Getafe (10-14-13, 43 pts)	10.3	14.3	13.3	44.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Sevilla (10-16-11, 41 pts)	10.2	16.6	11.2	41.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Celta Vigo (10-17-10, 40 pts)	10.2	17.5	10.3	41.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Las Palmas (10-18-9, 39 pts)	10.3	18.4	9.3	40.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
16	Rayo Vallecano (8-15-14, 38 pts)	8.2	15.6	14.2	38.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
17	Mallorca (7-14-16, 37 pts)	7.3	14.3	16.3	38.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
18	Cadiz (6-16-15, 33 pts)	6.4	16.3	15.3	34.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
19	Granada (4-24-9, 21 pts)	4.4	24.3	9.3	22.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
20	Almeria (2-23-12, 18 pts)	2.3	23.4	12.3	19.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.